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Comment appréhender les temporalités de l’histoire économique ? Plaidoyer pour une cliométrie des événements rares

Author

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  • Claude Diebolt

    (BETA - Bureau d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - UNISTRA - Université de Strasbourg - UL - Université de Lorraine - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

L'objet de cet article est d'élaborer, par la combinaison de l'approche systémique et de l'idée de régulation, une grille de lecture théorique susceptible de contribuer à un renouveau méthodologique pour une meilleure appréhension des temporalités de l'histoire économique. Le système régulé entraîne des cycles ; il génère des chocs. Ce sont les reflets de la temporalité d'un système économique donné. Ce faisant, nos investigations cliométriques participent d'un vaste programme de recherche visant à réconcilier l'épistémologie du Verstehen (comprendre) avec celle de l'Erklären (expliquer). Elles ambitionnent de favoriser la rencontre du fait avec le fait stylisé ; les modélisations théoriques de la croissance, des cycles et des systèmes économiques avec les interrogations empiriques aux frontières de l'histoire économique.

Suggested Citation

  • Claude Diebolt, 2016. "Comment appréhender les temporalités de l’histoire économique ? Plaidoyer pour une cliométrie des événements rares," Post-Print hal-01762538, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01762538
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Thierry Aimar & Francis Bismans & Claude Diebolt, 2010. "Le cycle économique : une synthèse," Revue Française d'Économie, Programme National Persée, vol. 24(4), pages 3-65.
    2. Claude Diebolt, 2012. "The cliometric voice," History of Economic Ideas, Fabrizio Serra Editore, Pisa - Roma, vol. 20(3), pages 51-64.
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    5. Darne, Olivier & Diebolt, Claude, 2004. "Unit roots and infrequent large shocks: new international evidence on output," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(7), pages 1449-1465, October.
    6. Claude Diebolt & Jean-Luc Demeulemeester, 2010. "Quo vadis ? Quel futur pour l’histoire économique en France. Réflexions et recommandations par deux économistes," Working Papers 10-02, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
    7. C. Diebolt & J-P. Guironnet, 2012. "Vers une théorie économique de la suréducation ?," Economies et Sociétés (Serie 'Histoire Economique Quantitative'), Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), issue 45, pages 1453-1468, Août.
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    11. Jean-Luc Demeulemeester & Claude Diebolt, 2007. "How much could economics gain from history: the contribution of cliometrics," Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), vol. 1(1), pages 7-17, April.
    12. Ann M. Carlos, 2010. "Reflection on reflections: review essay on reflections on the cliometric revolution: conversations with economic historians," Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), vol. 4(1), pages 97-111, January.
    13. Claudia Goldin, 1995. "Cliometrics and the Nobel," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 9(2), pages 191-208, Spring.
    14. Claude Diebolt & Faustine Perrin, 2014. "The Foundations of Female Empowerment Revisited," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 124(4), pages 587-597.
    15. Jacob A. Mincer, 1974. "Age and Experience Profiles of Earnings," NBER Chapters, in: Schooling, Experience, and Earnings, pages 64-82, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    17. Fogel, Robert W, 1994. "Economic Growth, Population Theory, and Physiology: The Bearing of Long-Term Processes on the Making of Economic Policy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(3), pages 369-395, June.
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    19. Dora Costa & Jean-Luc Demeulemeester & Claude Diebolt, 2007. "What is ‘Cliometrica’?," Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), vol. 1(1), pages 1-6, April.
    20. Claude Diebolt, 2007. "Le cycle économique chez Arthur Spiethoff," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 117(4), pages 631-641.
    21. Claude Diebolt & Faustine Perrin, 2013. "From Stagnation to Sustained Growth: The Role of Female Empowerment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(3), pages 545-549, May.
    22. Claude Diebolt, 2006. "Progrès technique et cycles économiques dans la pensée allemande de l’entre-deux-guerres : l’apport d’Emil Lederer," Working Papers 06-09, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
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    27. Claude Diebolt & Michael Haupert (ed.), 2016. "Handbook of Cliometrics," Springer Books, Springer, edition 1, number 978-3-642-40406-1, September.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cliométrie; approche systémique; idée de régulation; événements rares; histoire économique; temporalités;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A12 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines
    • A20 - General Economics and Teaching - - Economic Education and Teaching of Economics - - - General
    • B41 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - Economic Methodology
    • B52 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Current Heterodox Approaches - - - Historical; Institutional; Evolutionary; Modern Monetary Theory;
    • C18 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Methodolical Issues: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C81 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Microeconomic Data; Data Access
    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access
    • N1 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations
    • N3 - Economic History - - Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy
    • P1 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies

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