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The Fundamentals of the Portuguese Crisis

Author

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  • João Sousa Andrade

    (University of Coimbra and GEMF)

  • Adelaide Duarte

    (University of Coimbra and GEMF)

Abstract

This paper analyses the fundamentals of the Portuguese crisis. The financial crisis of 2007 worsened and triggered the current Portuguese crisis. We argue that the main problem that the economy is facing is its output stagnation due to a kind of Dutch disease that has created high and increasing levels of indebtedness, low and decreasing levels of saving and has reduced Portuguese competitiveness. Moreover, the existence of a dualist labour market and a new vague of emigration reproduces inefficiency increasing unemployment of younger workers and the supply of human capital abroad funded by the Portuguese taxpayers. Governance problems such as bad public budget governance, lack of transparency and accountability are also at stake and have to be solved to allow the economy to return to its long-run growth path.

Suggested Citation

  • João Sousa Andrade & Adelaide Duarte, 2011. "The Fundamentals of the Portuguese Crisis," GEMF Working Papers 2011-16, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
    • Handle: RePEc:gmf:wpaper:2011-16
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    Cited by:

    1. Pedro Bação & João Maia Domingues & António Portugal Duarte, 2012. "Financial Crisis and Domino Effect," Book Chapters, in: João Sousa Andrade & Marta C. N. Simões & Ivan Stosic & Dejan Eric & Hasan Hanic (ed.), Managing Structural Changes - Trends and Requirements, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 11, pages 199-213, Institute of Economic Sciences.
    2. Fernando A. de Oliveira Tavares & Elisabeth T. Pereira & António Carrizo Moreira, 2014. "The Portuguese Residential Real Estate Market. An Evaluation of the Last Decade Abstract: This article presents an integrated vision of the context of the residential real estate market in Portugal. I," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 61(6), pages 739-757, December.
    3. Pedro Bação & António Portugal Durate & Mariana Simões, 2013. "The International Monetary System in Flux: Overview and Prospects," GEMF Working Papers 2013-07, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
    4. Francisco Carballo-Cruz, 2011. "Causes and Consequences of the Spanish Economic Crisis: Why the Recovery is Taken so Long?," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 58(3), pages 309-328, September.
    5. Jean Pisani-Ferry & André Sapir & Guntram B. Wolff, . "EU-IMF assistance to euro area countries- an early assessment," Blueprints, Bruegel, number 779, December.
    6. Jovan Filipović & Srečko Devjak & Goran Putnik, 2012. "Knowledge Based Economy: The Role of Expert Diaspora," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 59(3), pages 369-386, June.
    7. ATHANASENAS Athanasios & POLYCHRONIDOU Persefoni & CHAPSA Xanthippi, 2021. "An Economic Crisis “State of Shock”: An Empirical Analysis of the Greek Economy," European Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Bucharest Economic Academy, issue 02, June.
    8. Xanthippi Chapsa & Athanasios L. Athanasenas & Nikolaos Tabakis, 2019. "Real Convergence in EU-15: A Comparative Analysis of North versus South Europe," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 3-21.
    9. Nikolina E. Kosteletou, 2013. "Financial Integration, Euro and the Twin Deficits of Southern Eurozone Countries," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 60(2), pages 161-178, April.
    10. Trabelsi, Mohamed Ali, 2012. "The Impact of The Sovereign Debt Crisis on The Eurozone Countries," MPRA Paper 76974, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2012.
    11. Matej Marinč & Mojmir Mrak & Vasja Rant, 2014. "Dimensions of Bank Capital Regulation: A Cross-Country Analysis," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 61(4), pages 415-439, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Growth; Debt; Saving; Dutch disease; Unemployment; Budget policy.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • H10 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - General
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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