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Macroeconomic Rates Of Return Of Public And Private Investment: Crowding-In And Crowding-Out Effects

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Author Info
ANTÓNIO AFONSO
MIGUEL ST. AUBYN

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Abstract

Using annual data from 17 developed economies, we evaluate the macroeconomic effects of public and private investment through a five-variable vector autoregression. From impulse response functions, we assess the extent of crowding-in or crowding-out of both components of investment. We also compute the associated macroeconomic rates of return of public and private investment for each country. The results show the existence of positive effects of public investment and private investment on output. On the other hand, the crowding-in effects of public investment on private investment vary across countries, while the crowding-in effect of private investment on public investment is more generalized. Copyright © 2009 The Authors. Journal compilation © 2009 Blackwell Publishing Ltd and The University of Manchester.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1467-9957.2009.02117.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by University of Manchester in its journal The Manchester School.

Volume (Year): 77 (2009)
Issue (Month): s1 (09)
Pages: 21-39
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Handle: RePEc:bla:manchs:v:77:y:2009:i:s1:p:21-39

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Aschauer, David Alan, 1989. "Is public expenditure productive?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 177-200, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Argimon, Isabel & Gonzalez-Paramo, Jose M & Roldan, Jose M, 1997. "Evidence of Public Spending Crowding-Out from a Panel of OECD Countries," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 29(8), pages 1001-10, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Yang Zou, 2006. "Empirical studies on the relationship between public and private investment and GDP growth," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(11), pages 1259-1270, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Christophe Kamps, 2004. "The Dynamic Effects of Public Capital: VAR Evidence for 22 OECD Countries," Kiel Working Papers 1224, Kiel Institute for the World Economy. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Aschauer, David Alan, 1989. "Does public capital crowd out private capital?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 171-188, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. António Afonso & Davide Furceri, 2008. "Government size, composition, volatility and economic growth," Working Paper Series 849, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  2. António Afonso & Juan González Alegre, 2007. "Economic Growth and Budgetary Components: a Panel Assessment for the EU," Working Papers 2007/29, Department of Economics at the School of Economics and Management (ISEG), Technical University of Lisbon.. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-22.

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