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Strategic Behavior and Price Discovery

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Author Info
Luis Angel Medrano
Xavier Vives

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Abstract

The paper analyzes the effects of strategic behavior by an insider in a price discovery process, akin to an information tdtonnement, in the presence of a competitive informed sector. Such processes are used in the preopening period of continuous trading systems in several exchanges. It is found that the insider manipulates the market using a contrarian strategy in order to neutralize the effect of the trades of competitive informed agents. Furthermore, consistently with the empirical evidence available, we find that information revelation accelerates close to the opening, that the market price does not converge to the fundamental value no matter how many rounds the tatonnement has, and that the expected trading volume displays a U-shaped pattern. We also find that a market with a larger competitive sector (smaller insider) has an improved informational efficiency and an increased trading volume. The insider provides a public good (a lower informativeness of the price) for the competitive informed sector.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Harvard - Institute of Economic Research in its series Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers with number 1825.

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Date of creation: 1998
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Handle: RePEc:fth:harver:1825

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  1. Marco Ottaviani & Peter Norman Sørensen, 2003. "Late Informed Betting and the Favorite-Longshot Bias," Discussion Papers 03-33, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Ryan Davies, 2000. "Registered trader participation during the Toronto Stock Exchange's pre-opening session," Working Papers 997, Queen's University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. Marco Ottaviani & Peter Norman Sørensen, 2004. "The Timing of Bets and the Favorite-Longshot Bias," FRU Working Papers 2004/12, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. Finance Research Unit. [Downloadable!]
  4. Sandro Brusco & Carolina Manzano & Mikel Tapia, 2003. "Price Discovery In The Pre-Opening Period. Theory And Evidence From The Madrid Stock Exchange," Business Economics Working Papers wb035814, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía de la Empresa. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-5.


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