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The Effect of Public Information and Competition on Trading Volume and Price Volatility

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Author Info
Foster, F Douglas
Viswanathan, S

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Abstract

In a one-period model of market making with many exogenously informed traders, we first show that the variance of prices and expected.trading volume depend on the public information released at the start of trading. This is accomplished by representing beliefs with elliptically countoured distributions, for which the form of optimal decision rules does not depend on the specific distribution used. Second, if the model is altered so that the decision to become informed is made endogenous, then the decision rules of the market-maker and infomed traders depend on the public information. Third, in a multiperiod model with many informed traders and long-lived private information, recursion formulas similar to those of Kyle (1985) hold for all elliptically contoured distributions, trading volume is autocorrelated, and, unless per period liquidity trading is bounded.away from zero as new trading periods are added, informed traders' profits vanish. Article published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Society for Financial Studies in its journal, The Review of Financial Studies.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies in its journal Review of Financial Studies.

Volume (Year): 6 (1993)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 23-56
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Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:6:y:1993:i:1:p:23-56

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  1. George J. Mailath & Georg Noldeke, 2007. "Does Competitive Pricing Cause Market Breakdown under Extreme Adverse Selection?," PIER Working Paper Archive 07-022, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Dong-Hyun Ahn & Jacob Boudoukh & Matthew Richardson & Robert Whitelaw, 1999. "Behavioralize This! International Evidence on Autocorrelation Patterns of Stock Index and Futures Returns," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 99-040, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-. [Downloadable!]
  3. Craig Holden & Avanidhar Subrahmanyam, 1998. "New Events, Information Acquisition, and Serial Correlation," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management 1115, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA. [Downloadable!]
  4. Alan Morrison & Nir Vulkan, 2003. "Making Money out of Publicly Available Information," OFRC Working Papers Series 2003fe07, Oxford Financial Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Dong-Hyun Ahn & Jacob Boudoukh & Matthew Richardson & Robert F. Whitelaw, 1999. "Behavioralize This! International Evidence on Autocorrelation Patterns of Stock Index and Futures Returns," NBER Working Papers 7214, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Georg Nöldeke & Thomas Tröger, 2006. "A characterization of the distributions that imply existence of linear equilibria in the Kyle-model," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 73-85, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. George A. Christodoulakis & Stephen E Satchell, 2006. "Exact Elliptical Distributions for Models of Conditionally Random Financial Volatility," Working Papers 32, Bank of Greece. [Downloadable!]
  8. Spyros Pagratis, . "Asset pricing, asymmetric information and rating announcements: does benchmarking on ratings matter?," Bank of England working papers 265, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
  9. Marc Andreas Mündler, 2005. "Rational Information Choice in Financial Market Equilibrium," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Cornelis A. Los & Jeyanthi Karuppiah, 2004. "Wavelet Multiresolution Analysis of High-Frequency Asian FX Rates, Summer 1997," Finance 0409037, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Tyrone Callahan, 1998. "The Effect of Insider Beliefs on Informed Trade, Market Liquidity, and Price Efficiency"," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management 1120, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA. [Downloadable!]
  12. Andreas Krause, 2000. "Microstructure Effects on Daily Return Volatility in Financial Markets," Quantitative Finance Papers cond-mat/0011295, arXiv.org. [Downloadable!]
  13. Burkart Mönch, 2009. "Liquidating large security positions strategically: a pragmatic and empirical approach," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 157-186, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Michael J. Fleming & Eli M. Remolona, 1996. "Price formation and liquidity in the U.S. treasuries market: evidence from intraday patterns around announcements," Research Paper 9633, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
  15. Nikolaus Hautsch, 2002. "Modelling Intraday Trading Activity Using Box-Cox-ACD Models," CoFE Discussion Paper 02-05, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz. [Downloadable!]
  16. Georg Nöldeke & Thomas Tröger, 2004. "On the Existence of Linear Equilibria in the Rochet-Vila Model of Market Making," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers bgse19_2004, University of Bonn, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  17. Calcagno, R. & Lovo, S.M., 2002. "Market efficiency and price formation when dealers are asymmetrically informed," Discussion Paper 42, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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  18. Georg Nöldeke & Thomas Tröger, 2001. "Existence of Linear Equilibria in the Kyle Model with Multiple Informed Traders," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers bgse1_2001, University of Bonn, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  19. Paolo Pasquariello & Clara Vega, 2006. "Informed and strategic order flow in the bond markets," International Finance Discussion Papers 874, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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