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Do Exchange Rates Matter in Global Value Chains?

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  • SATO Kiyotaka
  • Shajuan ZHANG

Abstract

We empirically investigate whether global value chains (GVCs) can affect export responsiveness to real exchange rate volatility by constructing two measures of GVC participation at bilateral and sectoral levels from OECD Inter-Country Input-Output (ICIO) Tables. The 2016 edition covers 63 countries and 16 manufacturing sectors between 1995 and 2011. A panel estimation shows that the negative effect of exchange rate volatility on exports is significantly mitigated by GVC participation, which is supported by various robustness checks. Moreover, if regional value chains were better-developed and deepened, exchange rate fluctuations among regional countries would have less negative influence on regional trade.

Suggested Citation

  • SATO Kiyotaka & Shajuan ZHANG, 2019. "Do Exchange Rates Matter in Global Value Chains?," Discussion papers 19059, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    • Handle: RePEc:eti:dpaper:19059
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