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Efficient Dynamic Coordination with Individual Learning

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Author Info
Amil Dasgupta
Jakub Steiner ()
Colin Stewart

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Abstract

We study how the presence of multiple participation opportunities coupled with individual learning about payoff affects the ability of agents to coordinate efficiently in global coordination games. Two players face the option to invest irreversibly in a project in one of many rounds. The project succeeds if some underlying state variable theta is positive and both players invest, possibly asynchronously. In each round they receive informative private signals about theta, and asymptotically learn the true value of theta. Players choose in each period whether to invest or to wait for more precise information about theta. We show that with sufficiently many rounds, both players invest with arbitrarily high probability whenever investment is socially efficient, and delays in investment disappear when signals are precise. This result stands in sharp contrast to the usual static global game outcome in which players coordinate on the risk-dominant action. We provide a foundation for these results in terms of higher order beliefs.

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Paper provided by Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh in its series ESE Discussion Papers with number 175.

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Length: 24
Date of creation: 07 Nov 2007
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Handle: RePEc:edn:esedps:175

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  2. Itay Goldstein & Ady Pauzner, 2005. "Demand-Deposit Contracts and the Probability of Bank Runs," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(3), pages 1293-1327, 06. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Stephen Morris & Hyun Song Shin, 2007. "Common Belief Foundations of Global Games," Levine's Bibliography 122247000000001638, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  6. George-Marios Angeletos & Christian Hellwig & Alessandro Pavan, 2007. "Dynamic Global Games of Regime Change: Learning, Multiplicity, and the Timing of Attacks," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(3), pages 711-756, 05. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Paul Heidhues & Nicolas Melissas, 2006. "Equilibria in a dynamic global game: the role of cohort effects," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 531-557, 08. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Martin W. Cripps & Jeffrey C. Ely & George J. Mailath & Larry Samuelson, 2006. "Common Learning," Levine's Bibliography 321307000000000355, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Amil Dasgupta, 2004. "Financial Contagion Through Capital Connections: A Model of the Origin and Spread of Bank Panics," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 2(6), pages 1049-1084, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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