Asymmetric Effects of Government Spending: Does the Level of Real Interest Rates Matter?
AbstractThis paper examines empirical issues on asymmetric effects of government spending. Increases in government spending under low real interest rates are not associated with the same increases in future tax liabilities as those under high real interest rates. Consequently, the negative impact from the Ricardian effect is smaller with lower real rates. Our empirical work on US data, using threshold regression models, provides new evidence that an expansionary government spending is more conducive to real activities when real rates are low. We also find asymmetric effects on interest rates and threshold effects associated with substitution between financing methods.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Econometric Society in its series Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings with number 666.
Date of creation: 11 Aug 2004
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fiscal policy; government spending; Ricardian equivalence; real interest rates; regime switching; threshold vector autoregression;
Other versions of this item:
- Woon Gyu Choi & Michael B. Devereux, 2006. "Asymmetric Effects of Government Spending: Does the Level of Real Interest Rates Matter?," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 53(si), pages 8.
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
- E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
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- Barro, Robert J., 1981.
"Output Effects of Government Purchases,"
3451294, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Choi, Woon Gyu & Wen, Yi, 2000.
"Measuring Interest Rates as Determined by Thrift and Productivity,"
00-03, Cornell University, Center for Analytic Economics.
- Woon Gyu Choi, 2007. "Measuring Interest Rates as Determined by Thrift and Productivity," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 8(1), pages 167-195, May.
- Woon Gyu Choi & Yi Wen, 2005. "Measuring interest rates as determined by thrift and productivity," Working Papers 2005-037, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Daniel Choi & Mark Holmes, 2014. "Budget deficits and real interest rates: a regime-switching reflection on Ricardian Equivalence," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer, vol. 38(1), pages 71-83, January.
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