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Imperfectly-Credible Disinflation of Small Inflations

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  • Lynne Evans

    () (Newcastle University Business School)

  • Anamaria Nicolae

    () (Durham Business School)

Abstract

In this paper we study and quantify the e¤ects of a disinflationary policy on output and welfare. Our focus is the policy question of the optimal response to low inflation.The analysis takes place in the context of a DSGE model with sticky prices, time varying velocity and imperfect credibility. The nonlinear solution method reveals that early output losses may be more pronounced and more prolonged than previously suggested in the literature, and there may be insufficient compensation from a subsequent higher steady state to justify taking any disinflationary policy action in some cases.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Durham University Business School in its series Working Papers with number 2010_01.

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Date of creation: 01 Jan 2010
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Handle: RePEc:dur:durham:2010_01

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Postal: Durham University Business School, Mill Hill Lane, Durham DH1 3LB, England
Phone: +44 (0)191 334 5200
Fax: +44 (0)191 334 5201
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Web page: http://www.dur.ac.uk/business
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Related research

Keywords: price stability; velocity; disinlfation; output boom; optimal speed of disinlfation;

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References

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  1. Dibooglu, Sel & Kenc, Turalay, 2009. "Welfare cost of inflation in a stochastic balanced growth model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 650-658, May.
  2. Almeida Neto, Heitor Vieira de & Bonomo, Marco Antônio Cesar, 1999. "Optimal State-Dependent Rules, Credibility, and Inflation Inertia," Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 349, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
  3. Marco Bonomo & Carlos Carvalho, 2008. "Imperfectly credible disinflation under endogenous time-dependent pricing," Staff Reports 355, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  4. Anamaria Nicolae & Charles Nolan, 2004. "The impact of imperfect credibility in a transition to price stability," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 72, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
  5. Lynne Evans & Anamaria Nicolae, 2010. "The Output Effect of a Transition to Price Stability When Velocity Is Time Varying," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(5), pages 859-878, 08.
  6. Serletis, Apostolos & Yavari, Kazem, 2004. "The welfare cost of inflation in Canada and the United States," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 84(2), pages 199-204, August.
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