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Technological opportunity, long-run growth and convergence

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  • Jakub, GROWIEC

    (Warsaw School of Economics, Warsaw -Poland and CORE, Université catholique de Louvain - Belgium)

  • Ingmar, SCHUMACHER

    (UNIVERSITE CATHOLIQUE DE LOUVAIN, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE))

Abstract

We derive an R&D-based semi-endogenous growth model where technological progress depends on the available amount of technological opportunity. Incremental innovations provide direct increases in the knowledge stock but they reduce technological opportunity and thus the potential for further improvements. Technological opportunity can be renewed only by radical innovations (which have no direct impact on factor productivity). Investigating the model for its implications on economic growth leads to two basic observations. One, in the long-run, a balanced growth path with a consstant and semi-endogenous long-run economic growth rate exists only in a specific knife-edge case which implies that technological opportunity and knowledge grow at equal rates. Two, the transition need not be monotonic. Specifically, we show under which conditions our model generates endogenous business cylces via complex dynamics without uncertainty.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques in its series Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) with number 2007034.

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Length: 32
Date of creation: 01 Sep 2007
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Handle: RePEc:ctl:louvec:2007034

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Keywords: Technological opportunity; incremental innovation; radical innovation; endogenous busuness cycles; balanced growth; Andronov-Hopf bifurcation; complex dynamics;

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