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Identification of DSGE Models - the Effect of Higher-Order Approximation and Pruning

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  • Willi Mutschler

Abstract

Several formal methods have been proposed to check local identification in linearized DSGE models using rank criteria. Recently there has been huge progress in the estimation of non-linear DSGE models, yet formal identification criteria are missing. The contribution of the paper is threefold: First, we extend the existent methods to higher-order approximations and establish rank criteria for local identification given the pruned state-space representation. It is shown that this may improve overall identification of a DSGE model via imposing additional restrictions on the moments and spectrum. Second, we derive analytical derivatives of the reduced-form matrices, unconditional moments and spectral density for the pruned state-space system. Third, using a second-order approximation, we are able to identify previously non-identifiable parameters: namely the parameters governing the investment adjustment costs in the Kim (2003) model and all parameters in the An and Schorfheide (2007) model, including the coeffcients of the Taylor-rule.

Suggested Citation

  • Willi Mutschler, 2014. "Identification of DSGE Models - the Effect of Higher-Order Approximation and Pruning," CQE Working Papers 3314, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
  • Handle: RePEc:cqe:wpaper:3314
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    Cited by:

    1. Ivashchenko, Sergey & Mutschler, Willi, 2020. "The effect of observables, functional specifications, model features and shocks on identification in linearized DSGE models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 280-292.
    2. Mutschler, Willi, 2018. "Higher-order statistics for DSGE models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 6(C), pages 44-56.
    3. Fabio Canova & Filippo Ferroni & Christian Matthes, 2015. "Approximating Time Varying Structural Models With Time Invariant Structures," Working Paper 15-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    4. Prosper Dovonon & Alastair Hall, 2018. "The Asymptotic Properties of GMM and Indirect Inference under Second-order Identi?cation," CIRANO Working Papers 2018s-37, CIRANO.
    5. Adjemian, Stéphane & Bastani, Houtan & Juillard, Michel & Karamé, Fréderic & Mihoubi, Ferhat & Mutschler, Willi & Pfeifer, Johannes & Ratto, Marco & Rion, Normann & Villemot, Sébastien, 2022. "Dynare: Reference Manual Version 5," Dynare Working Papers 72, CEPREMAP, revised Mar 2023.
      • Stéphane Adjemian & Houtan Bastani & Michel Juillard & Frédéric Karamé & Ferhat Mihoubi & Willi Mutschler & Johannes Pfeifer & Marco Ratto & Sébastien Villemot & Normann Rion, 2023. "Dynare: Reference Manual Version 5," PSE Working Papers hal-04219920, HAL.
      • Stéphane Adjemian & Houtan Bastani & Michel Juillard & Frédéric Karamé & Ferhat Mihoubi & Willi Mutschler & Johannes Pfeifer & Marco Ratto & Sébastien Villemot & Normann Rion, 2023. "Dynare: Reference Manual Version 5," Working Papers hal-04219920, HAL.
    6. Prosper Dovonon & Alastair R. Hall, 2017. "The Asymptotic Properties of GMM and Indirect Inference Under Second-Order Identification," Economics Discussion Paper Series 1705, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    7. Adjemian, Stéphane & Juillard, Michel & Karamé, Fréderic & Mutschler, Willi & Pfeifer, Johannes & Ratto, Marco & Rion, Normann & Villemot, Sébastien, 2024. "Dynare: Reference Manual, Version 6," Dynare Working Papers 80, CEPREMAP.
    8. Dovonon, Prosper & Hall, Alastair R., 2018. "The asymptotic properties of GMM and indirect inference under second-order identification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 205(1), pages 76-111.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    non-linear DSGE; rank condition; analytical derivatives; pruned state-space;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models

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