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Globalization and the Output-inflation Tradeoff: New Time Series Evidence

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  • Eijffinger, Sylvester
  • Qian, Zongxin

Abstract

Recent cross-country studies on the globalization and output-inflation tradeoff correlation find openness has no significant effect on OECD countries. Those studies assume parameter constancy across countries. In this paper, we argue that this assumption does not hold for major industrialized countries. Using individual time series analysis, we find the effect of openness on the output-inflation trade off differ in sign and size across countries. In contrast to previous cross-country studies, we find globalization has significantly changed some major industrialized countries? output inflation tradeoff. This has important implications for future theoretical and empirical research.

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  • Eijffinger, Sylvester & Qian, Zongxin, 2010. "Globalization and the Output-inflation Tradeoff: New Time Series Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 7718, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:7718
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    Cited by:

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    2. Watson, Anna, 2016. "Trade openness and inflation: The role of real and nominal price rigidities," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 137-169.
    3. Sandeep Mazumder, 2017. "The Impact of Globalization on Inflation in Developing Countries," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 42(3), pages 41-60, September.
    4. Megha Chhabra & Qamar Alam, 2020. "An empirical study of trade openness and inflation in India," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 47(1), pages 79-90, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Openness; Output-inflation tradeoff; Phillips curve; Time inconsistency theory;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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