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Is There a Unit Root in the Inflation Rate? Evidence from Sequential Break and Panel Data Models

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Author Info
Culver, Sarah E
Papell, David H

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Abstract

Using sequential trend break and panel data models, we investigate the unit root hypothesis for the inflation rates of thirteen OECD countries. With individual country tests, we find evidence of stationarity in only four of the thirteen countries. The results are more striking with the panel data model. We can strongly reject the unit root hypothesis both for a panel of all thirteen countries and for a number of smaller panels consisting of as few as three countries. The non-rejection of the unit root hypothesis for inflation is very fragile to even a small amount of cross-section variation. @ 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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File URL: http://qed.econ.queensu.ca:80/jae/1997-v12.4/
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Publisher Info
Article provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal Journal of Applied Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 12 (1997)
Issue (Month): 4 (July-Aug.)
Pages: 435-44
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Handle: RePEc:jae:japmet:v:12:y:1997:i:4:p:435-44

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  2. Emanuela Marrocu & Raffaele Paci & Roberto Pala, 2000. "Estimation of total factor productivity for regions and sectors in Italy. A panel cointegration approach," Working Paper CRENoS 200016, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia. [Downloadable!]
  3. Bevilacqua, Franco, 2006. "Random walks and cointegration relationships in international parity conditions between Germany and USA for the post Bretton-Woods period," UNU-MERIT Working Paper Series 012, United Nations University, Maastricht Economic and social Research and training centre on Innovation and Technology. [Downloadable!]
  4. Westerlund Joakim, 2006. "Testing for Error Correction in Panel Data," Research Memoranda 056, Maastricht : METEOR, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization. [Downloadable!]
  5. B. Siliverstovs & D.J. Van Dijk, 2003. "Forecasting industrial production with linear, nonlinear and structural change models," Econometric Institute Report 321, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
  6. Lance J. Bachmeier & Norman R. Swanson, 2003. "Predicting Inflation: Does The Quantity Theory Help?," Departmental Working Papers 200317, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Kausik Chaudhuri & Jeffrey Sheen, . "Purchasing Power Parity Across States and Goods Within Australia," Working Papers 2001-2, University of Sydney, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Stephan Popp, 2008. "A Nonlinear Unit Root Test in the Presence of an Unknown Break," Ruhr Economic Papers 0045, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen. [Downloadable!]
  9. Marcelo Resende & Marcos A. M. Lima, 2005. "Market share instability in Brazilian industry: a dynamic panel data analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(6), pages 713-718, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Caner, Mehmet & Kilian, Lutz, 2000. "Size Distortions Of Tests Of The Null Hypothesis Of Stationarity: Evidence And Implications For The PPP Debate," CEPR Discussion Papers 2425, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Bevilacqua, Franco, 2006. "Random walks and cointegration relationships in international parity conditions between Germany and USA for the Bretton-Woods period," UNU-MERIT Working Paper Series 016, United Nations University, Maastricht Economic and social Research and training centre on Innovation and Technology. [Downloadable!]
  12. Erik Hjalmarsson & Pär Österholm, 2007. "Testing for Cointegration Using the Johansen Methodology when Variables are Near-Integrated," IMF Working Papers 07/141, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Andros Gregoriou & Alexandros Kontonikas, 2005. "Inflation Targeting and the Stationarity of Inflation: New Results from an ESTAR Unit Root Test," Working Papers 2005_10, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
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  14. Frank Strobel, 2004. "Monetary integration and inflation preferences: a real options analysis," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 95, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
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  15. Westerlund Joakim, 2006. "Panel Cointegration Tests of the Fisher Effect," Research Memoranda 054, Maastricht : METEOR, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization. [Downloadable!]
  16. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana & Pedro Garcia-del-Barrio, . "New Revelations about Unemployment Persistence in Spain," Faculty Working Papers 10/06, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra. [Downloadable!]
  17. Markus Mentz, & Steffen P. Sebastian, 2003. "Inflation convergence after the introduction of the Euro," CFS Working Paper Series 2003/30, Center for Financial Studies. [Downloadable!]
  18. Basher, Syed A. & Westerlund, Joakim, 2006. "Is there Really a Unit Root in the Inflation Rate? More Evidence from Panel Data Models," MPRA Paper 136, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  19. Frank Strobel, 2004. "Leaving EMU: a real options perspective," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 83, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
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  20. Badi H. Baltagi & Chihwa Kao, 2000. "Nonstationary Panels, Cointegration in Panels and Dynamic Panels: A Survey," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 16, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University. [Downloadable!]
  21. Tsyplakov Alexander, 2001. "Does Lower Inflation Imply Lower Price Uncertainty?," EERC Working Paper Series 2k-06e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS. [Downloadable!]
  22. Österholm, Pär, 2003. "The Taylor Rule: A Spurious Regression?," Working Paper Series 2003:20, Uppsala University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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