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Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow in Foreign Currency?

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Jeanne, Olivier

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Abstract

This Paper explores the hypothesis that the dollarization of liabilities in emerging market economies is the result of a lack of monetary credibility. I present a model in which firms choose the currency composition of their debts so as to minimize their probability of default. Decreasing monetary credibility can induce firms to dollarize their liabilities, even though this makes them vulnerable to a depreciation of the domestic currency. The channel is different from the channel studied in the earlier literature on sovereign debt, and it applies to both private and public debt. The Paper presents some empirical evidence and discusses policy implications.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 4030.

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Date of creation: Aug 2003
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:4030

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Related research
Keywords: devaluation financial crisis foreign currency debt liability dollarization monetary credibility

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Capital and Ownership Structure

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References listed on IDEAS
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Pelin Berkmen & Eduardo E. Cavallo, 2007. "Exchange Rate Policy and Liability Dollarization: An Empirical Study," IMF Working Papers 07/33, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  2. Andrew Berg & Eduardo Borensztein, & Paolo Mauro, 2002. "An Evaluation of Monetary Regime Options for Latin America," Working Papers 67, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Daniel Heymann - Enrique Kawamura, 2004. "A simple theoretical framework for the analysis of liability dollarization," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 120, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  4. Andres Velasco & Roberto Chang, 2004. "Monetary Policy and the Currency Denomination of Debt: A Tale of Two Equilibria," NBER Working Papers 10827, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Claessens, Stijn & Klingebiel, Daniela & Schmukler, Sergio, 2003. "Government Bonds in Domestic and Foreign Currency: The Role of Macroeconomic and Institutional Factors," CEPR Discussion Papers 3789, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  6. Andres Velasco & Robert Chang, 2004. "Endogenous dollarization, expectations, and equilibrium monetary policy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Jun. [Downloadable!]
  7. Kang Yong Tan & Prasanna Gai, 2004. "Good Housekeeping? Reputation, Fixed Exchange Rates, and the 'Original Sin' Problem," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 446, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  8. Nicolas Magud, 2002. "Currency Mismatch, Openness and Exchange Rate Regime Choice," University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers 2004-14, University of Oregon Economics Department, revised 01 Sep 2004. [Downloadable!]
  9. Franz Hamann & Julián Pérez & Paulina Restrepo, 2005. "Sobre los Efectos Macroeconómicos de la Composición de la Deuda Pública en Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003510, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Adam Honig, 2006. "A model of liability dollarization and myopic governments," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 20(3), pages 343-355, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Nicolas Berman & Antoine Berthou, 2006. "Financial market imperfections and the impact of exchange rate movements on exports," Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques bla06055, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1). [Downloadable!]
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  12. John D. Burger & Francis E. Warnock, 2006. "Local Currency Bond Markets," NBER Working Papers 12552, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Francisco Ramon-Ballester & Torsten Wezel, 2007. "International financial linkages of Latin American banks - the effects of political risk and deposit dollarisation," Working Paper Series 744, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  15. Henrique S. Basso & Oscar Calvo-Gonzalez & Marius Jurgilas, 2007. "Financial dollarization - the role of banks and interest rates," Working Paper Series 748, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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