Bayesian inference in dynamic disequilibrium models: an application to the Polish credit market
AbstractWe review Bayesian inference for dynamic latent variable models using the data augmentation principle. We detail the diffculties of simulating dynamic latent variables in a Gibbs sampler. We propose an alternative speciﬁcation of the dynamic disequilibrium model which leads to a simple simulation procedure and renders Bayesian inference fully operational. Identiﬁcation issues are discussed. We conduct a speciﬁcation search using the posterior deviance criterion of Spiegelhalter, Best, Carlin and van der Linde (2002) for a disequilibrium model of the Polish credit market.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) in its series CORE Discussion Papers with number 2006050.
Date of creation: 00 Jun 2006
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latent variables; disequilibrium models; Bayesian inference; Gibbs sampler; credit rationing.;
Other versions of this item:
- Luc Bauwens & Michel Lubrano, 2007. "Bayesian Inference in Dynamic Disequilibrium Models: An Application to the Polish Credit Market," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2-4), pages 469-486.
- Luc, BAUWENS & Michel, LUBRANO, 2006. "Bayesian Inference in Dynamic Disequilibrium Models : an Application to the Polish Credit Market," Discussion Papers (ECON - DÃ©partement des Sciences Economiques) 2006027, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
- BAUWENS, Luc & LUBRANO, Michel, . "Bayesian inference in dynamic disequilibrium models: an application to the Polish credit market," CORE Discussion Papers RP -1918, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- C34 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Truncated and Censored Models; Switching Regression Models
- E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
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