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Slowdown of Credit Flows in Jordan in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis: Supply or Demand Driven?

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  • Mr. Tigran Poghosyan

Abstract

This paper estimates a disequilibrium model of credit supply and demand to evaluate the relative role of these factors in the slowdown of credit flows in the Jordanian economy in the wake of the global financial crisis. The empirical analysis suggests that the credit stagnation is mainly driven by the restricted credit supply amid tighter monetary policy conditions in Jordan relative to the United States, as evidenced by the widened interest differential between the Central Bank of Jordan (CBJ) re-discount and the U.S. Federal Reserve funds rates. Although it appears that demand side factors related to the slowdown of economic activity have also had an impact, their role has been relatively modest. The estimation results imply that economic policies targeted towards stimulating supply of credit are likely to be a more effective tool for expanding credit flows relative to demand stimulating policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Tigran Poghosyan, 2010. "Slowdown of Credit Flows in Jordan in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis: Supply or Demand Driven?," IMF Working Papers 2010/256, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2010/256
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    Cited by:

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    2. Eric Wong & Andrew Tsang & Steven Kong, 2016. "How Does Loan-To-Value Policy Strengthen Resilience of Banks to Property Price Shocks - Evidence from Hong Kong," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 19(1), pages 120-149.
    3. Jameel Ahmed, 2016. "Credit Conditions in Pakistan: Supply Constraints or Demand Deficiencies?," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 54(2), pages 139-161, June.
    4. Lucie Režňáková & Svatopluk Kapounek, 2015. "Is There a Credit Crunch in the Czech Republic?," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 63(3), pages 995-1003.
    5. Ala’a Adden Abuhommous & Tareq Mashoka, 2018. "A dynamic approach to accounts receivable: the case of Jordanian firms," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 8(2), pages 171-191, June.
    6. Vouldis, Angelos, 2015. "Credit market disequilibrium in Greece (2003-2011) - a Bayesian approach," Working Paper Series 1805, European Central Bank.
    7. Khemraj, Tarron & Primus, Keyra, 2013. "Testing for the Credit Crunch in Trinidad and Tobago Using an Alternative Method," MPRA Paper 47372, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Nikolai Lazarov, 2022. "Evaluation of the factors influencing household lending in Bulgaria," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 2, pages 221-238.
    9. Saurabh Ghosh & Snehal Herwadkar & Radheshyam Verma & Pawan Gopalakrishnan, 2023. "Disentangling demand and supply side determinants of post-GFC credit slowdown: an Indian perspective," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 399-421, September.
    10. Greetje Everaert & Ms. Natasha X Che & Ms. Nan Geng & Bertrand Gruss & Gregorio Impavido & Miss Yinqiu Lu & Christian Saborowski & Mr. Jerome Vandenbussche & Mr. Li Zeng, 2015. "Does Supply or Demand Drive the Credit Cycle? Evidence from Central, Eastern, and Southeastern Europe," IMF Working Papers 2015/015, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Eric Wong & Andrew Tsang & Steven Kong, 2014. "How Does Loan-To-Value Policy Strengthen Banks' Resilience to Property Price Shocks - Evidence from Hong Kong," Working Papers 032014, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    12. Tamini, Arnaud & Petey, Joël, 2021. "Hoarding of reserves in the banking industry: Explaining the African paradox," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 214-225.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; credit supply; rate; Jordan; financial crisis; credit crunch; credit demand; plotted credit supply and demand series; credit supply and demand function; disequilibrium credit market model; demand equation; supply equation; Credit; Bank credit; Global financial crisis of 2008-2009; Central bank policy rate; Stock markets; Global;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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