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Educational Returns, Ability Composition and Cohort Effects: Theory and Evidence for Cohorts of Early-Career UK Graduates

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Author Info
Norman Ireland
Robin A. Naylor
Jeremy Smith
Shqiponja Telhaj

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Abstract

An increase over time in the proportion of young people obtaining a degree is likely to impacton the relative ability compositions (i) of graduates and non-graduates and (ii) acrossgraduates with different classes of degree award. In a signalling framework, we examine theimplications of this on biases across cohorts in estimates of educational returns. In anempirical analysis, we exploit administrative data on whole populations of UK universitystudents for ten graduate cohorts to investigate the extent to which early labour marketoutcomes vary with class of degree awarded. Consistent with our theoretical model, we findthat returns by degree class increased across cohorts during a period of substantial graduateexpansion. We also corroborate the empirical findings with evidence from complementarydata on graduate sample surveys.

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Paper provided by Centre for Economic Performance, LSE in its series CEP Discussion Papers with number dp0939.

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Date of creation: Jul 2009
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Handle: RePEc:cep:cepdps:dp0939

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Related research
Keywords: Educational Returns; College Wage Premium; Degree Class; Ability Bias; Statistical Discrimination;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
I21 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Analysis of Education
D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information

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    Other versions:
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  13. Smith, Jeremy & McKnight, Abigail & Naylor, Robin, 2000. "Graduate Employability: Policy and Performance in Higher Education in the UK," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 110(464), pages F382-411, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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