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Is it Economics or Politics? Trending Economic Factors and the Structure of Congress in the Growth of Government, 1930-2002

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Author Info
Stanley L. Winer () (Department of Economics, Carleton University)
Michael W. Tofias (Duke University)
Bernard Grofman (University of California, IrvineAuthor-Name: John H. Aldrich)

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Abstract

We expand the investigation of the role of Congress in explanations of government growth, building on the work of Kau and Rubin (2002). In addition to reconsidering the importance of the median ideological position of elected representatives they introduced, we allow for the roles of majority party strength and of party control of Congress. We consider the relative importantce of the state of Congress and of trending supply and demand-side economic factors in the evolution and composition of federal spending since 1930, and we use the resulting model to simulate the consequences of the radical and historically unprecedented shift to the right of Congress in 1994/95.

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File URL: http://www.carleton.ca/economics/cep/cep07-04.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Carleton University, Department of Economics in its series Carleton Economic Papers with number 07-04.

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Length: 33 pages
Date of creation: 29 Jun 2006
Date of revision: 28 Apr 2007
Publication status: Published: Carleton Economic Paper
Handle: RePEc:car:carecp:07-04

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
H1 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government
H3 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents
H5 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies
H6 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Lawrence Kenny & Stanley Winer, 2006. "Tax Systems in the World: An Empirical Investigation into the Importance of Tax Bases, Administration Costs, Scale and Political Regime," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 181-215, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Jacques Cremer & Thomas R. Palfrey, 2000. "Federal Mandates by Popular Demand," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 108(5), pages 905-927, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Kau, James B & Rubin, Paul H, 2002. " The Growth of Government:," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 113(3-4), pages 389-402, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Kau, James B & Rubin, Paul H, 1993. " Ideology, Voting, and Shirking," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 76(1-2), pages 151-72, June.
  5. Randall Holcombe, 2005. "Government growth in the twenty-first century," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 124(1), pages 95-114, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Cavalcanti, Tiago & Tavares, José, 2006. "Women Prefer Larger Governments: Growth, Structural Transformation and Government Size," CEPR Discussion Papers 5667, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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