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The Perverse Response of Interest Rates

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  • Virginie Boinet
  • Christopher Martin

Abstract

We argue that an increase in aggregate demand can lead to a reduction in the interest rate.This apparently perverse optimal response of interest rates can occur when the Phillips curve is non-linear. In that case, an increase in aggregate demand tends to increase inflation and output but also to change the weight on inflation in the optimal monetary policy rule. Although the first two effects tend to increase interest rates, the latter effect can imply lower interest rates. If this effect dominates, interest rates can fall.

Suggested Citation

  • Virginie Boinet & Christopher Martin, 2006. "The Perverse Response of Interest Rates," Economics and Finance Discussion Papers 06-20, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
    • Handle: RePEc:bru:bruedp:06-20
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    File URL: http://www.brunel.ac.uk/329/efwps/0620.pdf
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    1. Douglas Laxton & Guy Meredith & David Rose, 1995. "Asymmetric Effects of Economic Activity on Inflation: Evidence and Policy Implications," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 42(2), pages 344-374, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Boinet, Virginie & Martin, Christopher, 2010. "The optimal neglect of inflation: An alternative interpretation of UK monetary policy during the "Great Moderation"," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 982-992, December.

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