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Inflation, inflation risks and asset returns

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Author Info
Jo Corkish
David Miles

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Abstract

If low and stable inflation is maintained then the economic environment in the United Kingdom will be very different from any sustained period in the post-war era. This may have significant implications for financial markets: asset prices, the demand and supply for various types of financial contract, and the structure of financial intermediation are likely to be affected by a low inflationary environment. This paper examines the empirical evidence on the links between asset returns, inflation and inflation variability. The real returns on a range of financial and physical assets and are calculated a model of inflation expectations and inflation variability developed. The impact of anticipated inflation, inflation shocks and the variability of inflation on asset values are then estimated.

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Paper provided by Bank of England in its series Bank of England working papers with number 27.

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Handle: RePEc:boe:boeewp:27

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-27.


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