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Forward Rates and Future Policy: Interpreting the Term Structure of Interest Rates

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Author Info
Robert J. Shiller (Yale University)
John Y. Campbell (Assistant to the Editors)
Kermit L. Schoenholtz (Yale University)

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Abstract

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File URL: http://www.brookings.edu/press/Journals/2007/brookingspapersoneconomicactivity12007.aspx
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution in its journal Brookings Papers on Economic Activity.

Volume (Year): 14 (1983)
Issue (Month): 1983-1 ()
Pages: 173-224
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Handle: RePEc:bin:bpeajo:v:14:y:1983:i:1983-1:p:173-224

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Related research
Keywords: macroeconomics; interest rates; term structure;

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Robert J. Shiller, 1980. "Alternative Tests of Rational Expectations Models: The Case of the Term Structure," NBER Working Papers 0563, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Shiller, Robert J, 1979. "The Volatility of Long-Term Interest Rates and Expectations Models of the Term Structure," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 87(6), pages 1190-1219, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. V. Vance Roley, 1983. "Asset Substitutability and the Impact of Federal Deficits," NBER Working Papers 1082, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Thomas J. Sargent, 1978. "A note on maximum likelihood estimation of the rational expectations model of the term structure," Staff Report 26, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Arrow, Kenneth J, 1982. "Risk Perception in Psychology and Economics," Economic Inquiry, Oxford University Press, vol. 20(1), pages 1-9, January.
  6. Shiller, Robert J., 1981. "Alternative tests of rational expectations models : The case of the term structure," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 71-87, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Agustin Maravall & David A. Pierce, 1980. "Errors in preliminary money stock data and monetary aggregate targeting," Special Studies Papers 152, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  8. Charles Engel & Jeffrey Frankel, 1982. "Why money announcements move interest rates: an answer from the foreign exchange market," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov, pages 1-36.
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