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Asset Substitutability and the Impact of Federal Deficits

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V. Vance Roley
Abstract

In this paper, the role of asset substitutability in determining the impact of debt-financed federal deficits is examined. The issues are first discussed in the context of a simple analytical model in which financial assets are disaggregated into money, federal debt,and corporate bonds. In this model, it is shown that depending on the degree of substitutability among financial assets, a range of possible outcomes associated with a change in the federal deficit is possible.Next, the issue of asset substitutability is examine dempirically in a disaggregated structural model of the Treasury security,corporate bond, and equity markets. Using this model, the implications of larger debt-financed federal deficits are then examined in a series of simulation experiments.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 1082.

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Date of creation: Feb 1983
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Publication status: published as Roley, V. Vance. "Asset Substitutability and the Impact of Federal Deficits ." The Economic Consequences of Government Deficits, edited by L. Meyer, Kluwer-Nijhoff Publishing Company, 1983.
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:1082

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Feldstein, Martin, 1982. "Government deficits and aggregate demand," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 1-20. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Walsh, Carl E., 1983. "Asset prices, asset stocks and rational expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 337-349. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Laurence J. Kotlikoff & Lawrence H. Summers, 1981. "The Role of Intergenerational Transfers in Aggregate Capital Accumulation," NBER Working Papers 0445, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Friedman, Milton, 1970. "A Theoretical Framework for Monetary Analysis," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 78(2), pages 193-238, March-Apr. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Pesando, James E, 1978. "On the Efficiency of the Bond Market: Some Canadian Evidence," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 86(6), pages 1057-76, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Cohen, Darrel & McMenamin, J Stuart, 1978. "The Role of Fiscal Policy in a Financially Disaggregated Macroeconomic Model," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 10(3), pages 322-36, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Martin Feldstein, 1982. "Government Deficits and Aggregate Demand," NBER Working Papers 0435, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. William C. Brainard & James Tobin, 1968. "Pitfalls in Financial Model-Building," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 244, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
  9. Blanchard, Olivier J & Plantes, Mary Kay, 1977. "A Note on Gross Substitutability of Financial Assets," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 45(3), pages 769-71, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Hansen, Bent, 1973. "On the Effects of Fiscal and Monetary Policy: A Taxonomic Discussion," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 63(4), pages 546-71, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Barro, Robert J, 1974. "Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 82(6), pages 1095-1117, Nov.-Dec.. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Brunner, Karl & Meltzer, Allan H, 1972. "Money, Debt, and Economic Activity," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 80(5), pages 951-77, Sept.-Oct. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Turnovsky, Stephen J, 1978. "Macroeconomic Dynamics and Growth in a Monetary Economy: A Synthesis," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 10(1), pages 1-26, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Silber, William L, 1970. "Fiscal Policy in IS-LM Analysis: A Correction," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 2(4), pages 461-72, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Roley, V Vance, 1979. "A Theory of Federal Debt Management," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(5), pages 915-26, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  16. Infante, Ettore F. & Stein, Jerome L., 1976. "Does fiscal policy matter?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(4), pages 473-500, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. Meyer, Laurence H., 1975. "The balance sheet identity, the government financing constraint, and the crowding-out effect," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 65-78, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  18. Blinder, Alan S. & Solow, Robert M., 1973. "Does fiscal policy matter?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(4), pages 319-337. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Robert J. Shiller & John Y. Campbell & Kermit L. Schoenholtz, 1983. "Forward Rates and Future Policy: Interpreting the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 667, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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