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Demografía, juventud y homicidios en Colombia, 1979-2006

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  • Leonardo Bonilla Mejía

Abstract

En este documento se busca esclarecer si el hecho de que entre 1979 y 2006, Colombia tuvo una mayor proporción de jóvenes en la población total, contribuyó a que hubiera mayores tasas de homicidio. Tal hipótesis se ha estudiado en otros países del mundo, pero ha recibido poca atención en nuestro país. Lo que se observó en este periodo fue una relación positiva y significativa entre el porcentaje de jóvenes en la población total y la tasa de homicidio. Para verificar hasta qué punto son los cambios demográficos los responsables del aumento en los homicidios, se empleó información de población y homicidios, desagregada por grupos de edad. Dos mecanismos a través de los cuales un cambio demográfico de esta naturaleza puede influir sobre los homicidios son considerados: el efecto de composición y el efecto específico de edad. Classification-JEL:K42, J13, I18, O54.

Suggested Citation

  • Leonardo Bonilla Mejía, 2009. "Demografía, juventud y homicidios en Colombia, 1979-2006," Documentos de trabajo sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 118, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:region:118
    DOI: 10.32468/dtseru.118
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Joshua D. Angrist & Adriana D. Kugler, 2008. "Rural Windfall or a New Resource Curse? Coca, Income, and Civil Conflict in Colombia," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 90(2), pages 191-215, May.
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    4. Juan D. Baron, 2009. "El homicidio en los tiempos del Plan Colombia," Documentos de trabajo sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 115, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    5. Gaviria, Alejandro, 2000. "Increasing returns and the evolution of violent crime: the case of Colombia," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 1-25, February.
    6. Rodrigo R. Soares & Joana Naritomi, 2010. "Understanding High Crime Rates in Latin America: The Role of Social and Policy Factors," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Crime: Lessons For and From Latin America, pages 19-55, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. María Teresa Ramírez & Juana Patricia Téllez, 2006. "La Educación Primaria Y Secundaria En Colombia En El Siglo Xx," Borradores de Economia 2992, Banco de la Republica.
    8. Leonardo Bonilla Mejía, 2009. "Revisión de la literatura económica reciente sobre las causas de la violencia homicida en Colombia," Documentos de trabajo sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 114, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    9. repec:pra:mprapa:16315 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Juan Luis Londoño & Rodrigo Guerrero & Bernard Couttolene & Ignácio Cano & Leandro Piquet Carneiro & Luciana Phebo & Mauricio Rubio & José Miguel Cruz & Luis Armando González & Luis Ernesto Romano & E, 2000. "Asalto al desarrollo: Violencia en América Latina," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 43498 edited by Juan Luis Londoño & Alejandro Gaviria & Rodrigo Guerrero, February.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Homicidio; demografía; juventud; falacia ecológica; Colombia; violencia.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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