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Primera versión de la Política de Seguridad Democrática: Se cumplieron los objetivos?

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  • Gerson Javier Pérez Valbuena

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Abstract

Exploiting spatial and temporal variations in the number of seizures from criminal organizations, I estimate regional fixed effects models of the increase in the number of properties confiscated on the main crime rates. Since 2002 security strategies changed, and the resulting effects on crime rates are mostly large, negative and significant. There was a clear reduction in crimes commonly committed by criminal organizations, including guerrillas, paramilitaries and drug traffickers, such as auto-theft, terrorism, terrestrial piracy and kidnappings. On the other hand, those usually committed by common criminals, such as street robberies and burglaries, were unaffected by the new security policy. RESUMEN: Explotando las variaciones espaciales y temporales en el número de bienes incautados a las organizaciones criminales, se estiman modelos de efectos fijos regionales del aumento en el número de propiedades confiscadas sobre las principales tasas de crimen. En Colombia, desde finales de 2002 las estrategias de seguridad en el país cambiaron, y como resultado, los efectos sobre los indicadores del crimen resultaron en su mayoría sustanciales, negativos y significativos. Hubo una clara reducción en los delitos comúnmente cometidos por el crimen organizado, incluyendo a la guerrilla, los paramilitares y los narcotraficantes, tales como robo de vehículos, terrorismo, piratería terrestre y secuestros. Por otro lado, los delitos cometidos por criminales comunes, tales como robos callejeros y hurtos a residencias, no se vieron afectados por la nueva política de seguridad.

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Paper provided by BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ECONOMÍA REGIONAL in its series DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO SOBRE ECONOMÍA REGIONAL with number 009385.

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Date of creation: 15 Mar 2012
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Handle: RePEc:col:000102:009385

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