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Climate Change Adaptation via U.S. Land Use Transitions: A Spatial Econometric Analysis

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  • Cho, Sung Ju
  • McCarl, Bruce A.
  • Wu, Ximing

Abstract

Climate change, coupled with biofuels development and other factors may well be changing US land usage patterns. We use a spatial econometric approach to estimate the drivers of US land use transitions in recent years. We consider transitions between six major land uses: agricultural land, forest, grassland, water, urban, and other uses. To examine drivers, we use a two-step linearized, spatial, multinomial logit model and estimate land use transition probabilities. Our results indicate that climate change is a driver of land use change and that movements to and from agricultural land and grassland exhibit opposite responses with climate change portending a movement out of cropland into grassland. These results indicate that adaptation to climate change through land usage change is ongoing but with spatial dependence.

Suggested Citation

  • Cho, Sung Ju & McCarl, Bruce A. & Wu, Ximing, 2015. "Climate Change Adaptation via U.S. Land Use Transitions: A Spatial Econometric Analysis," 2015 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2015, Atlanta, Georgia 196684, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:saea15:196684
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.196684
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    Keywords

    Environmental Economics and Policy; Land Economics/Use;

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