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Exchange Rate Volatility and International Trade

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  • Udo Broil
  • Bernhard Eckwert

Abstract

The purpose of this note is to show that a positive effect of exchange rate volatility on export production has a theoretical basis. The key to this claim is that, as the exchange rate volatility increases, so does the value of the real option to export to the world market. Higher volatility increases the potential gains from trade. This may explain part of the mixed empirical findings regarding the effects of exchange rate risk on international trade.

Suggested Citation

  • Udo Broil & Bernhard Eckwert, 1999. "Exchange Rate Volatility and International Trade," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 66(1), pages 178-185, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:soecon:v:66:y:1999:i:1:p:178-185
    DOI: 10.1002/j.2325-8012.1999.tb00232.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    4. Obumneke Bob Muoneke & Kingsley Ikechukwu Okere & Favour Chidinma Onuoha, 2023. "Extreme exchange rate dynamics and export trade in the selected oil-exporting countries in Africa. Multiple asymmetric threshold non-linear ARDL approach," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(6), pages 854-877, August.
    5. Ruth Eegunjobi & Nicholas Ngepah, 2022. "Dynamic Relationships between Seafood Exports, Exchange Rate and Industrial Upgrading," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-16, June.
    6. Halit YANIKKAYA & Huseyin KAYA & Osman Murat KOCTURK, 2013. "The effect of real exchange rates and their volatilities on the selected agricultural commodity exports: A case study on Turkey, 1971-2010," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 59(5), pages 235-246.
    7. James Temitope Dada, 2020. "Asymmetric effect of exchange rate volatility on trade in sub-Saharan African countries," Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 37(2), pages 149-162, July.
    8. Thom Dang Thi Xuan, 2018. "Exchange Rate and Trade Balance in Vietnam: A Time Series Analysis," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(9), pages 1158-1174.
    9. Udo Broll & Soumyatanu Mukherjee & Rudra Sensarma, 2020. "Risk preferences estimation of exporting firms under exchange rate uncertainty," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 67(1), pages 126-136, February.
    10. Anmar Pretorius & Heinrich Nel, 2018. "Disentangling the exchange rate risk, sectoral export flows and financial development nexus," Working Papers 733, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    11. Viviane Naimy & Rim El Khoury & José-María Montero & Jana Souk, 2023. "Post-Brexit exchange rate volatility and its impact on UK exports to eurozone countries: A bounds testing approach," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 14(1), pages 135-168, March.

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