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Return and volatility connectedness of Chinese onshore, offshore, and forward exchange rate

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  • Yanping Zhao
  • Zaghum Umar
  • Xuan Vinh Vo

Abstract

We analyze the return and volatility connectedness between the three Chinese exchange rate markets, namely, the onshore market, the offshore market, and the nondeliverable forward offshore market. Our results show that connectedness exhibits an increasing trend with fluctuations during periods of internal reforms and external shocks. For example, the connectedness increased with China's exchange rate reform on August 11, 2015 but dropped after that. Furthermore, we document that the offshore spot and a forward market dominated the other rates in return spillovers. In contrast, both the offshore and onshore forward rates dominated the other rates in volatility spillovers.

Suggested Citation

  • Yanping Zhao & Zaghum Umar & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2021. "Return and volatility connectedness of Chinese onshore, offshore, and forward exchange rate," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(11), pages 1843-1860, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:41:y:2021:i:11:p:1843-1860
    DOI: 10.1002/fut.22243
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    Cited by:

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    2. Aharon, David Y. & Umar, Zaghum & Aziz, Mukhriz Izraf Azman & Vo, Xuan vinh, 2022. "COVID-19 related media sentiment and the yield curve of G-7 economies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    3. Jing Hao & Feng He & Feng Ma & Tong Fu, 2023. "Trading around the clock: Revisit volatility spillover between crude oil and equity markets in different trading sessions," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 771-791, June.
    4. Lu, Xunfa & Huang, Nan & Mo, Jianlei & Ye, Zhitao, 2023. "Dynamics of the return and volatility connectedness among green finance markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    5. Ghosh, Bikramaditya & Pham, Linh & Teplova, Tamara & Umar, Zaghum, 2023. "COVID-19 and the quantile connectedness between energy and metal markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    6. Umar, Zaghum & Abrar, Afsheen & Hadhri, Sinda & Sokolova, Tatiana, 2023. "The connectedness of oil shocks, green bonds, sukuks and conventional bonds," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    7. Umar, Zaghum & Mokni, Khaled & Escribano, Ana, 2022. "Connectedness between the COVID-19 related media coverage and Islamic equities: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    8. Huifu Nong, 2024. "Connectedness and risk transmission of China’s stock and currency markets with global commodities," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 1-24, February.
    9. Liu, Yiye & Han, Liyan & Wu, You, 2022. "Can skewness predict CNY-CNH spread?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    10. Umar, Zaghum & Bossman, Ahmed & Choi, Sun-Yong & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "The relationship between global risk aversion and returns from safe-haven assets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    11. Bossman, Ahmed & Umar, Zaghum & Agyei, Samuel Kwaku & Junior, Peterson Owusu, 2022. "A new ICEEMDAN-based transfer entropy quantifying information flow between real estate and policy uncertainty," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(3), pages 189-205.

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