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The Value of Residential Land and Structures during the Great Housing Boom and Bust

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  • Nicolai V. Kuminoff
  • Jaren C. Pope

Abstract

This study examines how the value of residential land and structures evolved during the great housing boom and bust, using data on more than a million residential properties that were sold in 10 metropolitan areas between 1998 and 2009. We use a hedonic estimator to disentangle the market value of land and structures at a local (Census tract) level. Our estimates reveal substantial heterogeneity in the evolution of the market value of land and structures within metropolitan areas. Surprisingly, lowervalue land at the urban fringes of metropolitan areas was the most volatile during the boom-bust.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicolai V. Kuminoff & Jaren C. Pope, 2013. "The Value of Residential Land and Structures during the Great Housing Boom and Bust," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 89(1), pages 1-29.
    • Handle: RePEc:uwp:landec:v:89:y:2013:i:1:p:1-29
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    2. Wendong Zhang & Cynthia J. Nickerson, 2015. "Housing Market Bust and Farmland Values: Identifying the Changing Influence of Proximity to Urban Centers," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 91(4), pages 605-626.
    3. Scott Wentland & Gary Cornwall & Jeremy G. Moulton, 2023. "For What It's Worth: Measuring Land Value in the Era of Big Data and Machine Learning," BEA Papers 0115, Bureau of Economic Analysis.
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    5. Satyajit Chatterjee & Burcu Eyigungor, 2013. "Do supply restrictions raise the value of urban land? The (neglected) role of production externalities," Working Papers 13-37, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    6. William Larson, 2015. "New Estimates of Value of Land of the United States," BEA Working Papers 0120, Bureau of Economic Analysis.
    7. Piazzesi, M. & Schneider, M., 2016. "Housing and Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1547-1640, Elsevier.
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    9. Du, Xuejun & Huang, Zhonghua, 2018. "Spatial and temporal effects of urban wetlands on housing prices: Evidence from Hangzhou, China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 290-298.
    10. Wentland, Scott A. & Ancona, Zachary H. & Bagstad, Kenneth J. & Boyd, James & Hass, Julie L. & Gindelsky, Marina & Moulton, Jeremy G., 2020. "Accounting for land in the United States: Integrating physical land cover, land use, and monetary valuation," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    11. Fan, Jianshuang & Zhou, Lin & Yu, Xiaofen & Zhang, Yanjiang, 2021. "Impact of land quota and land supply structure on China’s housing prices: Quasi-natural experiment based on land quota policy adjustment," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    12. Larson, William D. & Shui, Jessica, 2022. "Land valuation using public records and kriging: Implications for land versus property taxation in cities," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    13. Hamilton, Timothy L. & Phaneuf, Daniel J., 2015. "An integrated model of regional and local residential sorting with application to air quality," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 71-93.
    14. Okmyung Bin & Jeffrey Czajkowski & Jingyuan Li & Gabriele Villarini, 2017. "Housing Market Fluctuations and the Implicit Price of Water Quality: Empirical Evidence from a South Florida Housing Market," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 68(2), pages 319-341, October.
    15. García Ana Laura & González Juan Pedro & Velázquez Jhasua, 2022. "An Approach for Housing Wealth Estimation: The Mexican Case," Working Papers 2022-12, Banco de México.
    16. Gong Yunlong & de Haan Jan, 2018. "Accounting for Spatial Variation of Land Prices in Hedonic Imputation House Price Indices: a Semi-Parametric Approach," Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 34(3), pages 695-720, September.
    17. Ismir Mulalic & Holger Rasmussen & Jan Rouwendal & Hans Henrik Woltmann, 2017. "The Financial Crisis and Diverging House Prices: Evidence from the Copenhagen Metropolitan Area," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-084/VIII, Tinbergen Institute.
    18. Tang, Chuan & Czajkowski, Jeffrey & Heintzelman, Martin D. & Li, Minghao & Montgomery, Marilyn, 2020. "Rail accidents and property values in the era of unconventional energy production," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    19. Carrillo, Paul E. & Pope, Jaren C., 2012. "Are homes hot or cold potatoes? The distribution of marketing time in the housing market," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1-2), pages 189-197.
    20. Benedetto Manganelli & Beniamino Murgante, 2017. "The Dynamics of Urban Land Rent in Italian Regional Capital Cities," Land, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-18, August.
    21. Marina Gindelsky & Jeremy G. Moulton & Scott A. Wentland, 2020. "Valuing Housing Services in the Era of Big Data: A User Cost Approach Leveraging Zillow Microdata," NBER Chapters, in: Big Data for Twenty-First-Century Economic Statistics, pages 339-370, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Ahrens, Achim & Beirne, Keelan & Economides, Philip & Kostarakos, Ilias & McQuinn, Kieran & O'Toole, Conor, 2020. "A review of the methodologies used in compiling owner-occupiers’ housing indices," Papers WP651, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    23. Boslett, Andrew & Guilfoos, Todd & Lang, Corey, 2016. "Valuation of expectations: A hedonic study of shale gas development and New York’s moratorium," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 14-30.
    24. Walsh, Patrick & Mui, Preston, 2017. "Contaminated sites and information in hedonic models: An analysis of a NJ property disclosure law," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1-14.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R14 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Land Use Patterns
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand

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