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Local Labor Markets And Welfare Spells: Do Demand Conditions Matter? Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Hilary Williamson Hoynes
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This paper examines the impact of changes in labor market conditions on participation in the Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) program in California. Transitions off welfare and transitions back onto welfare are estimated using discrete duration models that control for local labor market conditions, demographic and neighborhood characteristics, duration effects, county-fixed effects, time effects, and countyspecific time trends. The results show that higher unemployment rates, lower employment growth, lower employment-to-population ratios, and lower wage growth are associated with longer welfare spells and higher recidivism rates. Hispanics, blacks, and two-parent families are the groups that are most sensitive to changes in local labor market conditions. © 2000 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technolog
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Article provided by MIT Press in its journal The Review of Economics and Statistics .
Volume (Year): 82 (2000)
Issue (Month): 3 (August)
Pages: 351-368
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Handle: RePEc:tpr:restat:v:82:y:2000:i:3:p:351-368Contact details of provider: Web page: http://mitpress.mit.edu/journals/
Order Information: Web: http://mitpress.mit.edu/journal-home.tcl?issn=00346535
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References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Blank, Rebecca M., 1989.
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Econometrica ,
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Other versions: Hoynes, Hilary & MaCurdy, Thomas, 1994.
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[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Olivier Jean Blanchard & Lawrence F. Katz, 1992.
"Regional Evolutions ,"
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[Downloadable!]
Hilary Hoynes, 1993.
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NBER Working Papers
4407, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: O'Neill, June A & Bassi, Laurie J & Wolf, Douglas A, 1987.
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The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
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[Downloadable!] (restricted)
John Bound & Harry J. Holzer, 1991.
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Other versions:
Bound, John & Holzer, Harry J, 1993.
"Industrial Shifts, Skills Levels, and the Labor Market for White and Black Males ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 75(3), pages 387-96, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) J. Fitzgerald, .
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Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers
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Timothy J. Bartik, 2003.
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Manski, Charles F, 1993.
"Identification of Endogenous Social Effects: The Reflection Problem ,"
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Moffitt, Robert, 1983.
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American Economic Review ,
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[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Heckman, James J. & Singer, Burton, 1984.
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Journal of Econometrics ,
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Holzer, Harry J, 1991.
"Employment, Unemployment and Demand Shifts in Local Labor Markets ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 73(1), pages 25-32, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
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