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On the Role Exports in the Economic Growth of Malaysia: A Multivariate Analysis

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  • Yousif. Al-Yousif
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    Abstract

    In recent years a number if studies have attempted to examine the export-led Growth hypothesis in the Malaysian context. The evidence is, however mixed and inconclusive. This might be attributed to the fact that previous studies are bivariate in that they only focus on the relationship between exports and economic growth. Therefore, in the present paper we reexamine the relationship between exports and economic growth in the Malaysian context using a multivariate model in which other relevant factors (exchange rate, labor, and capital) are allowed to exert their influence on the two basic variables (exports and economic growth). Our results are supportive of the export-led growth as a short-run phenomenon in Malaysia. Over the long-run, however, our results supports, instead, the internally generated growth hypothesis. [O47]

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal International Economic Journal.

    Volume (Year): 13 (1999)
    Issue (Month): 3 ()
    Pages: 67-75

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    Handle: RePEc:taf:intecj:v:13:y:1999:i:3:p:67-75

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    1. Engle, Robert F. & Yoo, Byung Sam, 1987. "Forecasting and testing in co-integrated systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 143-159, May.
    2. Thornton, John, 1996. "Cointegration, causality and export-led growth in Mexico, 1895-1992," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 413-416, March.
    3. Hiro Y. Toda & Peter C.B. Phillips, 1991. "Vector Autoregression and Causality," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 977, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    4. Phillips, P.C.B., 1986. "Understanding spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 311-340, December.
    5. Krueger, Anne O, 1990. "Asian Trade and Growth Lessons," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(2), pages 108-12, May.
    6. Ram, Rati, 1987. "Exports and Economic Growth in Developing Countries: Evidence from Time-Series and Cross-Section Data," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 36(1), pages 51-72, October.
    7. Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 1989. "Interpreting the evidence on money-income causality," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 161-181, January.
    8. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, P., 1974. "Spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 111-120, July.
    9. Granger, Clive W J, 1986. "Developments in the Study of Cointegrated Economic Variables," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 48(3), pages 213-28, August.
    10. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
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    Cited by:
    1. Tang, Chor Foon & Lai, Yew Wah, 2011. "The Stability of Export-led Growth Hypothesis: Evidence from Asia's Four Little Dragons," MPRA Paper 27962, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Ibrahim, Mansor H., 2002. "An Empirical Note on the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis: The Case of Malaysia," Economic Analysis and Policy (EAP), Queensland University of Technology (QUT), School of Economics and Finance, vol. 32(2), pages 221-232, June Spec.

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