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The shape of the Phillips curve: the case of Indonesia

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  • Rizki E. Wimanda
  • Paul M. Turner
  • Maximilian J. B. Hall

Abstract

It is recognized that the effectiveness of monetary policy in the control of inflation depends critically on the relationship between inflation and the output gap. During booms, inflation is highly sensitive to monetary influences, but during recessions this influence is considerably muted. However, econometric investigation of this phenomenon has mostly focussed on the developed economies. In this article, the shape of the Phillips curve is investigated for Indonesia. Evidence is found of significant nonlinearities in the inflation--output relationship for Indonesia and it is argued that this relationship is best modelled by the capacity-constraint (L-shape) model.

Suggested Citation

  • Rizki E. Wimanda & Paul M. Turner & Maximilian J. B. Hall, 2013. "The shape of the Phillips curve: the case of Indonesia," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(29), pages 4114-4121, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:29:p:4114-4121
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.744137
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Bankim Chadha & Paul R. Masson & Guy Meredith, 2019. "Models of Inflation and the Costs of Disinflation," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Macroeconomic Modelling and Monetary and Exchange Rate Regimes, chapter 3, pages 57-99, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    6. Weshah Razzak, 1997. "The inflation-output trade-off: Is the Phillips Curve symmetric? A policy lesson from New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G97/2, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    7. Wimanda, Rizki E. & Turner, Paul M. & Hall, Maximilian J.B., 2011. "Expectations and the inertia of inflation: The case of Indonesia," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 426-438, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hermawan, Danny & Lie, Denny & Sasongko, Aryo & Yusan, Richard, 2023. "Money velocity, digital currency, and inflation dynamics," MPRA Paper 116906, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Danny Hermawan & Denny Lie & Aryo Sasongko & Richard I. Yusan, 2023. "Money velocity, digital currency, and inflation dynamics," Working Papers 2023-01, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
    3. Aginta, Harry, 2023. "Revisiting the Phillips curve for Indonesia: What can we learn from regional data?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    4. Danny Hermawan Adiwibowo & Aryo Sasongko & Denny Lie, 2022. "Money Velocity, Digital Currency, And Inflation Dynamics," Working Papers WP/13/2022, Bank Indonesia.

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