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Energiekrise und Lieferstopp für Gas: Auswirkungen auf die Betriebe in Deutschland
[The Energy Crisis and Gas Supply Stop: Consequences for Businesses in Germany]

Author

Listed:
  • Christian Kagerl

    (Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB))

  • Michael Moritz

    (Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB))

  • Duncan Roth

    (Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB))

  • Jens Stegmaier

    (Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB))

  • Ignat Stepanok

    (Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB))

  • Enzo Weber

    (Inst. f. Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung)

Abstract

Zusammenfassung Seit 2021 steigen die Energiepreise kräftig an. Mit Beginn des russischen Kriegs gegen die Ukraine sind sie noch einmal in die Höhe geschnellt. Neben Lieferkettenstörungen und Exportrückgängen dämpft das die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung, Konjunkturprognosen wurden deutlich nach unten revidiert. Darüber hinaus stellt ein mögliches komplettes Ausbleiben aller Lieferungen von Energieträgern aus Russland ein erhebliches Risiko dar. Über die zu erwartenden Folgen ist viel diskutiert worden. Wenn es um die Auswirkungen eines Lieferstopps von Gas geht, kommen bisherige Berechnungen auf Basis ökonomischer Modelle zu uneindeutigen Ergebnissen mit einer Spannbreite von einem verkraftbaren Schock (Bachmann et al., 2022) bis hin zu massiven und dauerhaften wirtschaftlichen Schäden (Krebs, 2022).

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Kagerl & Michael Moritz & Duncan Roth & Jens Stegmaier & Ignat Stepanok & Enzo Weber, 2022. "Energiekrise und Lieferstopp für Gas: Auswirkungen auf die Betriebe in Deutschland [The Energy Crisis and Gas Supply Stop: Consequences for Businesses in Germany]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(6), pages 486-491, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:102:y:2022:i:6:d:10.1007_s10273-022-3211-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s10273-022-3211-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. repec:iab:iabfda:202113(de is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Markus Hummel & Christian Hutter & Enzo Weber, 2022. "Wie die Materialengpässe den Arbeitsmarkt treffen [How Material Shortages are Affecting the Labour Market]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(4), pages 316-318, April.
    3. Hutter, Christian & Weber, Enzo, 2022. "Russia-Ukraine War: Short-run Production and Labour Market Effects of the Energy Crisis," IAB-Discussion Paper 202210, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    4. Lutz Kilian, 2008. "A Comparison of the Effects of Exogenous Oil Supply Shocks on Output and Inflation in the G7 Countries," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(1), pages 78-121, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Christian Kagerl & Michael Moritz & Duncan Roth & Jens Stegmaier & Ignat Stepanok, 2022. "Gestörte Lieferketten — wie reagieren die Betriebe in Deutschland? [Supply Chain Disruptions — How Are Establishments in Germany Responding?]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(12), pages 956-960, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Q34; Q31; Q41;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q34 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Natural Resources and Domestic and International Conflicts
    • Q31 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

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