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Risk and evolution

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Author Info
Ted To (Department of Economics, University of Warwick, Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK)

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Abstract

I examine a Knightian (1921) model of risk using a general equilibrium model of investment and trade. A population of agents with various preference types can choose between a safe production technology and a risky production technology. In addition, the distribution of types of agents changes through a standard evolutionary dynamic. For a given population distribution, the equilibrium is in general inefficient, however, by allowing the population distribution to change in response to market generated rewards, the population will converge to one where the equilibrium is efficient and where the population as a whole behaves as if all agents were risk neutral.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Economic Theory.

Volume (Year): 13 (1999)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 329-343
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Handle: RePEc:spr:joecth:v:13:y:1999:i:2:p:329-343

Note: Received: November 7, 1996; revised version: October 20, 1997
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Related research
Keywords: Risk · Evolution · Entrepreneur.;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Ed Hopkins, . "Learning, Matching and Aggregation," ELSE working papers 033, ESRC Centre on Economics Learning and Social Evolution. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Fudenberg, Drew & Tirole, Jean, 1984. "The Fat-Cat Effect, the Puppy-Dog Ploy, and the Lean and Hungry Look," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 74(2), pages 361-66, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Carlos Oyarzun & Johannes Ruf, 2009. "Monotone imitation," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 411-441, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Burkhard C. Schipper, 2005. "The Evolutionary Stability of Optimism, Pessimism and Complete Ignorance," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers bgse35_2005, University of Bonn, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Steffen Huck & Georg Kirchsteiger & Jörg Oechssler, 2003. "Learning to Like What You Have - Explaining the Endowment Effect," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers bgse5_2003, University of Bonn, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Iris Bohnet & Bruno S. Frey & Steffen Huck, . "More Order with Less Law: On Contract Enforcement, Trust, and Crowding," IEW - Working Papers iewwp052, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW. [Downloadable!]
  5. Dirk Engelmann, 2003. "Risk Aversion Pays in the Class of 2 x 2 Games with No Pure Equilibrium," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp211, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economic Institute, Prague. [Downloadable!]
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