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Understanding the divergences between farmer’s perception and meteorological records regarding climate change: a review

Author

Listed:
  • Cristian Rogério Foguesatto

    (Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul)

  • Felipe Dalzotto Artuzo

    (Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul)

  • Edson Talamini

    (Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul)

  • João Armando Dessimon Machado

    (Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul)

Abstract

How farmers perceive climate change is linked to whether they are responding and adapting to it. However, often this perception does not correspond with what actually happens. Based on a search of empirical studies carried out in Africa and Asia, this paper analyzes two factors that can influence farmers’ perception regarding climate change: expected utility maximization and availability heuristic. While expected utility maximization refers to an expected change in farmers’ well-being, the availability heuristic is a mental shortcut based on the memory of occurrence of events. Generally, empirical studies show that farmers’ perceptions are aligning with meteorological records regarding an increase in temperature. However, while there are no significant variations in rainfall trends, farmers perceive a reduction in rainfall in the last few years. The recent increase in drought frequency and severity may cause this divergence, because it affects farmers’ well-being, and extreme droughts have a central position in peoples’ memory. In this context, our findings suggest that farmers’ perceptions are influenced by economic and psychological issues. Policymakers, extension workers and developers of climate projects need to pay attention to farm and farmers’ characteristics in order to develop mitigation and/or adaptation practices regarding climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Cristian Rogério Foguesatto & Felipe Dalzotto Artuzo & Edson Talamini & João Armando Dessimon Machado, 2020. "Understanding the divergences between farmer’s perception and meteorological records regarding climate change: a review," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 1-16, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:22:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s10668-018-0193-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s10668-018-0193-0
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    3. Cristian Rogério Foguesatto & João Armando Dessimon Machado, 2021. "What shapes farmers’ perception of climate change? A case study of southern Brazil," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 1525-1538, February.
    4. Robert Huber & Hang Xiong & Kevin Keller & Robert Finger, 2022. "Bridging behavioural factors and standard bio‐economic modelling in an agent‐based modelling framework," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(1), pages 35-63, February.
    5. Stefano Mainardi, 2021. "Preference heterogeneity, neighbourhood effects and basic services: logit kernel models for farmers’ climate adaptation in Ethiopia," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(5), pages 6869-6912, May.
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