IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/urbstu/v52y2015i1p159-177.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Selectivity, spatial autocorrelation and the valuation of transit accessibility

Author

Listed:
  • Mi Diao

Abstract

Capturing the increase in land value attributable to transit accessibility has become an increasingly examined alternative to fund the transit system, one which demands reliable estimates of the impact of transport improvement on property values. In the context of value capture, this study presents a new method to value transit accessibility. We integrate the Heckman selection model and spatial econometric techniques to account for two issues that are often overlooked in the conventional hedonic price analysis: sample selection and spatial autocorrelation. The modelling framework is applied to the city of Boston to assess the impact of the subway system on single-family property values and gauge the potential for value capture. We find that failing to correct for sample selection and spatial autocorrelation results in significant bias in valuing transit accessibility. This bias might distort estimates of the value-added effect of transit infrastructure investment and misguide policy design for value-capture programmes.

Suggested Citation

  • Mi Diao, 2015. "Selectivity, spatial autocorrelation and the valuation of transit accessibility," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 52(1), pages 159-177, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:52:y:2015:i:1:p:159-177
    DOI: 10.1177/0042098014523686
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0042098014523686
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/0042098014523686?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. McDonald, John F. & Osuji, Clifford I., 1995. "The effect of anticipated transportation improvement on residential land values," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 261-278, June.
    2. Chambers, Daniel N., 1992. "The racial housing price differential and racially transitional neighborhoods," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 214-232, September.
    3. Heckman, James, 2013. "Sample selection bias as a specification error," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 31(3), pages 129-137.
    4. Rosen, Sherwin, 1974. "Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 82(1), pages 34-55, Jan.-Feb..
    5. Levinson, David & Zhao, Zhirong Jerry, 2012. "Introduction to the special issue on value capture for transportation finance," The Journal of Transport and Land Use, Center for Transportation Studies, University of Minnesota, vol. 5(1), pages 1-3.
    6. Rodríguez, Daniel A. & Mojica, Carlos H., 2009. "Capitalization of BRT network expansions effects into prices of non-expansion areas," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 43(5), pages 560-571, June.
    7. Gibbons, Stephen & Machin, Stephen, 2005. "Valuing rail access using transport innovations," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 148-169, January.
    8. G. Donald Jud & Terry G. Seaks, 1994. "Sample Selection Bias in Estimating Housing Sales Prices," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 9(3), pages 289-298.
    9. Landis, John & Guhathakurta, Subhrajit & Huang, William & Zhang, Ming, 1995. "Rail Transit Investments, Real Estate Values, and Land Use Change: A Comparative Analysis of Five California Rail Transit Systems," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt2hf9s9sr, University of California Transportation Center.
    10. Zhirong (Jerry) Zhao & Michael Iacono & David Levinson, 2009. "Value Capture for Transportation Finance," Working Papers 000064, University of Minnesota: Nexus Research Group.
    11. Halvorsen, Robert & Palmquist, Raymond, 1980. "The Interpretation of Dummy Variables in Semilogarithmic Equations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(3), pages 474-475, June.
    12. Min Hwang & John M. Quigley, 2004. "Selectivity, Quality Adjustment and Mean Reversion in the Measurement of House Values," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 28(2_3), pages 161-178, March.
    13. Martínez, Luis Miguel Garrido & Viegas, José Manuel, 2012. "The value capture potential of the Lisbon Subway," The Journal of Transport and Land Use, Center for Transportation Studies, University of Minnesota, vol. 5(1), pages 65-82.
    14. Gatzlaff, Dean H & Haurin, Donald R, 1997. "Sample Selection Bias and Repeat-Sales Index Estimates," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 14(1-2), pages 33-50, Jan.-Marc.
    15. Basu, Sabyasachi & Thibodeau, Thomas G, 1998. "Analysis of Spatial Autocorrelation in House Prices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 61-85, July.
    16. Bowes, David R. & Ihlanfeldt, Keith R., 2001. "Identifying the Impacts of Rail Transit Stations on Residential Property Values," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 1-25, July.
    17. John Matthews & Geoffrey Turnbull, 2007. "Neighborhood Street Layout and Property Value: The Interaction of Accessibility and Land Use Mix," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 111-141, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Filippova, Olga & Sheng, Mingyue, 2020. "Impact of bus rapid transit on residential property prices in Auckland, New Zealand," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    2. Bello Musa Zango & Sanni Mohammed Lekan & Mohammed Jibrin Katun, 2020. "Conventional Methods in Housing Market Analysis: A Review of Literature," Baltic Journal of Real Estate Economics and Construction Management, Sciendo, vol. 8(1), pages 227-241, January.
    3. Scott N Lieske & Ryan van den Nouwelant & Jung Hoon Han & Christopher Pettit, 2021. "A novel hedonic price modelling approach for estimating the impact of transportation infrastructure on property prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 58(1), pages 182-202, January.
    4. Xu, Tao & Zhang, Ming, 2016. "Tailoring empirical research on transit access premiums for planning applications," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 49-60.
    5. Cho, Seong-Hoon & Kim, Taeyoung & Larson, Eric R. & Armsworth, Paul R., 2014. "Economies of Scale in Costs of Land Acquisition for Nature Conservation," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 177182, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Xueming (Jimmy) Chen, 2018. "Review of the Transit Accessibility Concept: A Case Study of Richmond, Virginia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-19, December.
    7. Diao, Mi, 2019. "Towards sustainable urban transport in Singapore: Policy instruments and mobility trends," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 320-330.
    8. Mitra, Suman K. & Saphores, Jean-Daniel M., 2016. "The value of transportation accessibility in a least developed country city – The case of Rajshahi City, Bangladesh," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 184-200.
    9. Daniel Lo & Kwong Wing Chau & Siu Kei Wong & Michael McCord & Martin Haran, 2022. "Factors Affecting Spatial Autocorrelation in Residential Property Prices," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-16, June.
    10. Dubé, Jean & Andrianary, Eugénie & Assad-Déry, François & Poupart, Janie & Simard, Justine, 2018. "Exploring difference in value uplift resulting from new bus rapid transit routes within a medium size metropolitan area," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 258-269.
    11. Jiacheng Jiao & John Rollo & Baibai Fu, 2021. "The Hidden Characteristics of Land-Use Mix Indices: An Overview and Validity Analysis Based on the Land Use in Melbourne, Australia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-19, February.
    12. Soria, Jason & Stathopoulos, Amanda, 2021. "Investigating socio-spatial differences between solo ridehailing and pooled rides in diverse communities," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    13. Melser, Daniel, 2020. "Estimating the housing capitalization effects of new infrastructure: Should we be using rents instead of prices?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 402-421.
    14. Javad J. C. Aman & Myriam Zakhem & Janille Smith-Colin, 2021. "Towards Equity in Micromobility: Spatial Analysis of Access to Bikes and Scooters amongst Disadvantaged Populations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-15, October.
    15. Jiangang Shi & Shiping Wen & Xianbo Zhao & Guangdong Wu, 2019. "Sustainable Development of Urban Rail Transit Networks: A Vulnerability Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-24, March.
    16. Mansour, Shawky & Alahmadi, Mohammed & Abulibdeh, Ammar, 2022. "Spatial assessment of audience accessibility to historical monuments and museums in Qatar during the 2022 FIFA World Cup," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 116-129.
    17. Zhu, Yi & Diao, Mi, 2016. "The impacts of urban mass rapid transit lines on the density and mobility of high-income households: A case study of Singapore," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 70-80.
    18. Soonae Park & Min-Gean Park & Kyung-Min Nam, 2019. "Growth effects of fiscal decentralization with weak economic motivation: the case of South Korea," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 63(3), pages 399-436, December.
    19. Diao, Mi & Leonard, Delon & Sing, Tien Foo, 2017. "Spatial-difference-in-differences models for impact of new mass rapid transit line on private housing values," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 64-77.
    20. Jin, Tanhua & Cheng, Long & Liu, Zhicheng & Cao, Jun & Huang, Haosheng & Witlox, Frank, 2022. "Nonlinear public transit accessibility effects on housing prices: Heterogeneity across price segments," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 48-59.
    21. Helen Naughton & Pehr-Johan Norbäck & Ayça Tekin-Koru, 2016. "Aggregation Issues of Foreign Direct Investment Estimation in an Interdependent World," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(12), pages 2046-2073, December.
    22. Mi Diao & Yi Zhu & Jiren Zhu, 2017. "Intra-city access to inter-city transport nodes: The implications of high-speed-rail station locations for the urban development of Chinese cities," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 54(10), pages 2249-2267, August.
    23. Diao, Mi, 2018. "Does growth follow the rail? The potential impact of high-speed rail on the economic geography of China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 279-290.
    24. Junhong Im & Sung Hyo Hong, 2018. "Impact of a new subway line on housing values in Daegu, Korea: Distance from existing lines," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 55(15), pages 3318-3335, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Diao, Mi & Leonard, Delon & Sing, Tien Foo, 2017. "Spatial-difference-in-differences models for impact of new mass rapid transit line on private housing values," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 64-77.
    2. Qing Shen & Simin Xu & Jiang Lin, 2018. "Effects of bus transit-oriented development (BTOD) on single-family property value in Seattle metropolitan area," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 55(13), pages 2960-2979, October.
    3. Dubé, Jean & Andrianary, Eugénie & Assad-Déry, François & Poupart, Janie & Simard, Justine, 2018. "Exploring difference in value uplift resulting from new bus rapid transit routes within a medium size metropolitan area," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 258-269.
    4. Hyun, Dongwoo & Milcheva, Stanimira, 2019. "Spatio-temporal effects of an urban development announcement and its cancellation on house prices: A quasi-natural experiment," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 23-36.
    5. Yen, Barbara T.H. & Mulley, Corinne & Shearer, Heather & Burke, Matthew, 2018. "Announcement, construction or delivery: When does value uplift occur for residential properties? Evidence from the Gold Coast Light Rail system in Australia," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 412-422.
    6. Comber, Sam & Arribas-Bel, Dani, 2017. "“Waiting on the train”: The anticipatory (causal) effects of Crossrail in Ealing," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 13-22.
    7. Daniel Melser, 2023. "Selection Bias in Housing Price Indexes: The Characteristics Repeat Sales Approach," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(3), pages 623-637, June.
    8. Papon, Francis & Nguyen-Luong, Dany & Boucq, Elise, 2015. "Should any new light rail line provide real estate gains, or not? The case of the T3 line in Paris," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 43-54.
    9. Ahlfeldt, Gabriel M. & Nitsch, Volker & Wendland, Nicolai, 2019. "Ease vs. noise: Long-run changes in the value of transport (dis)amenities," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    10. Dubé, Jean & Legros, Diègo & Devaux, Nicolas, 2018. "From bus to tramway: Is there an economic impact of substituting a rapid mass transit system? An empirical investigation accounting for anticipation effect," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 73-87.
    11. Dziauddin, Mohd Faris, 2019. "Estimating land value uplift around light rail transit stations in Greater Kuala Lumpur: An empirical study based on geographically weighted regression (GWR)," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 10-20.
    12. Ekaterina Chernobai & Michael Reibel & Michael Carney, 2011. "Nonlinear Spatial and Temporal Effects of Highway Construction on House Prices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 348-370, April.
    13. Gabriel M. Ahlfeldt & Georgios Kavetsos, 2014. "Form or function?: the effect of new sports stadia on property prices in London," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 177(1), pages 169-190, January.
    14. Gabriel M Ahlfeldt, 2013. "If We Build it, Will They Pay? Predicting Property Price Effects of Transport Innovations," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 45(8), pages 1977-1994, August.
    15. Billings, Stephen B., 2011. "Estimating the value of a new transit option," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(6), pages 525-536.
    16. Yang Xiao & Chris Webster & Scott Orford, 2016. "Identifying house price effects of changes in urban street configuration: An empirical study in Nanjing, China," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 53(1), pages 112-131, January.
    17. Ozhegov, Evgeniy M. & Sidorovykh, Aleksandra S., 2017. "Heterogeneity of sellers in housing market: Difference in pricing strategies," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 42-51.
    18. Arthur Korteweg & Morten Sorensen, 2012. "Estimating Loan-to-Value and Foreclosure Behavior," NBER Working Papers 17882, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Gabriel Ahlfeldt & Volker Nitsch & Nicolai Wendland, 2016. "Ease vs. Noise: On the Conflicting Effects of Transportation Infrastructure," CESifo Working Paper Series 6058, CESifo.
    20. Devaux, Nicolas & Dubé, Jean & Apparicio, Philippe, 2017. "Anticipation and post-construction impact of a metro extension on residential values: The case of Laval (Canada), 1995–2013," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 8-19.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:52:y:2015:i:1:p:159-177. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.gla.ac.uk/departments/urbanstudiesjournal .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.