IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/toueco/v22y2016i5p964-978.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Tourism and house prices in Italy

Author

Listed:
  • Bianca Biagi

    (University of Sassari and CRENoS, Italy)

  • Maria Giovanna Brandano

    (University of Sassari and CRENoS, Italy)

  • Steven B. Caudill

    (Florida Atlantic University, USA; University of Sassari and CRENoS, Italy)

Abstract

Evaluating the impact of tourism on housing prices is an important endeavor, but the usual empirical approach is to estimate a single regression model with house price as a function of tourism and other variables. This approach does not allow for individual heterogeneity. In this article, the authors apply a latent class model to estimate the impact of tourism activities on housing prices in Italy. In particular, they allow for three different unobservable classes or regimes, permitting the impact of tourism on house prices to differ across classes. In other words, they allow for unobservable heterogeneity. The empirical results do support the existence of three classes of house price regressions. Using two different indices of tourism activity, for certain cities (about 21–48% of the sample), increases in tourism activity increase housing prices and for other cities (8–17%) increases in tourism activity decreases housing prices. For approximately half of the sample, increases in tourism activity have no impact on housing prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Bianca Biagi & Maria Giovanna Brandano & Steven B. Caudill, 2016. "Tourism and house prices in Italy," Tourism Economics, , vol. 22(5), pages 964-978, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:22:y:2016:i:5:p:964-978
    DOI: 10.5367/te.2015.0470
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.5367/te.2015.0470
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.5367/te.2015.0470?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tiziana Caliman, 2009. "The risk of falling house prices in Italy," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), vol. 56(4), pages 401-423, December.
    2. Beard, T. Randolph & Caudill, Steven B. & Gropper, Daniel M., 1997. "The diffusion of production processes in the U.S. banking industry: A finite mixture approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 721-740, May.
    3. Steven B. Caudill & Daniel M. Gropper & Valentina Hartarska, 2009. "Which Microfinance Institutions Are Becoming More Cost Effective with Time? Evidence from a Mixture Model," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(4), pages 651-672, June.
    4. Kostas Tsatsaronis & Haibin Zhu, 2004. "What drives housing price dynamics: cross-country evidence," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    5. Chieh-hsuan Wang & Chien-ping Chung & Jen-Te Hwang, 2012. "Hedonic and GMM Estimates of the Relationship between House Prices and Rents in Taiwan," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(3), pages 2231-2245.
    6. Muellbauer, John & Murphy, Anthony, 1997. "Booms and Busts in the UK Housing Market," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 107(445), pages 1701-1727, November.
    7. Fabio Cerina, 2007. "Tourism Specialization and Environmental Sustainability in a Dynamic Economy," Tourism Economics, , vol. 13(4), pages 553-582, December.
    8. Huayi Yu, 2010. "China’s House Price: Affected by Economic Fundamentals or Real Estate Policy?," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, vol. 5(1), pages 25-51, March.
    9. Bianca Biagi & Maria G. Brandano & Dionysia Lambiri, 2015. "Does Tourism Affect House Prices? Evidence from Italy," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(3), pages 501-528, September.
    10. Hamilton, Jacqueline M., 2007. "Coastal landscape and the hedonic price of accommodation," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(3-4), pages 594-602, May.
    11. Chris Leishman & Glen Bramley, 2005. "A Local Housing Market Model with Spatial Interaction and Land-Use Planning Controls," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 37(9), pages 1637-1649, September.
    12. Sheng, Li, 2011. "Specialisation versus diversification: A simple model for tourist cities," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 1229-1231.
    13. Tiziana Caliman & Enrico di Bella, 2011. "Spatial Autoregressive Models for House Price Dynamics in Italy," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(2), pages 1837-1855.
    14. Do, A Quang & Grudnitski, Gary, 1995. "Golf Courses and Residential House Prices: An Empirical Examination," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 10(3), pages 261-270, May.
    15. Simon Stevenson, 2008. "Modeling Housing Market Fundamentals: Empirical Evidence of Extreme Market Conditions," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 36(1), pages 1-29, March.
    16. Isabel Vanslembrouck & Guido Van Huylenbroeck & J. Van Meensel, 2005. "Impact of Agriculture on Rural Tourism: A Hedonic Pricing Approach," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 56(1), pages 17-30, March.
    17. Mankiw, N. Gregory & Weil, David N., 1989. "The baby boom, the baby bust, and the housing market," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 235-258, May.
    18. Malpezzi, Stephen, 1999. "A Simple Error Correction Model of House Prices," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 27-62, March.
    19. Laura O. Taylor & V. Kerry Smith, 2000. "Environmental Amenities as a Source of Market Power," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 76(4), pages 550-568.
    20. J.M. Espinet & M. Saez & G. Coenders & M. FluviÃ, 2003. "Effect on Prices of the Attributes of Holiday Hotels: A Hedonic Prices Approach," Tourism Economics, , vol. 9(2), pages 165-177, June.
    21. Daniel Gropper & Steven Caudill & T. Beard, 1999. "Estimating Multiproduct Cost Functions Over Time Using a Mixture of Normals," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 11(3), pages 201-218, June.
    22. Philippe Le Goffe, 2000. "Hedonic pricing of agriculture and forestry externalities," Post-Print hal-02364341, HAL.
    23. Steven B. Caudill & James E. Long & Franklin G. Mixon, 2012. "Female athletic participation and income: evidence from a latent class model," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(3), pages 477-488, June.
    24. Anderson, Soren T. & West, Sarah E., 2006. "Open space, residential property values, and spatial context," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 773-789, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Steven B. Caudill & Franklin G. Mixon, 2020. "Estimating Bargaining Power in Real Estate Pricing Models: Conceptual and Empirical Issues," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-8, May.
    2. Časni Anita Čeh & Filić Josipa, 2022. "Tourism housing price nexus," Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 8(2), pages 53-65, December.
    3. Maria Giovanna Brandano & Marta Meleddu, 2021. "Together or not? Spill-over effects of cultural goods displacement," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(6), pages 1202-1220, September.
    4. Çigdem Karis & Derya Altintas, 2021. "Tourism’s Effect on the Housing Prices in Turkey: The ARDL Bound Testing Approach," Bingol University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Bingol University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 5(1), pages 249-276, August.
    5. Mikulić, Josip & Vizek, Maruška & Stojčić, Nebojša & Payne, James E. & Čeh Časni, Anita & Barbić, Tajana, 2021. "The effect of tourism activity on housing affordability," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. B. Biagi & MG. Brandano & D. Lambiri, 2012. "Does tourism affect house prices? Some evidence from Italy," Working Paper CRENoS 201227, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    2. Bianca Biagi & Maria G. Brandano & Dionysia Lambiri, 2015. "Does Tourism Affect House Prices? Evidence from Italy," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(3), pages 501-528, September.
    3. Bilbao-Terol , Celia & Valdés , Luis, 2015. "The environmental setting, farming activities and rural accommodation prices," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 33, pages 33-51.
    4. Constantinescu, Mihnea & Lastauskas, Povilas, 2018. "The knotty interplay between credit and housing," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 241-266.
    5. Christophe Blot, 2006. "Peut-on parler de bulle sur le marché immobilier au Luxembourg ?," BCL working papers 20, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
    6. Celia Bilbao-Terol & Verónica Cañal-Fernández & Luis Valdés & Eduardo Del Valle, 2017. "Rural Tourism Accommodation Prices by Land Use-Based Hedonic Approach: First Results from the Case Study of the Self-Catering Cottages in Asturias," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-17, September.
    7. Časni Anita Čeh & Filić Josipa, 2022. "Tourism housing price nexus," Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 8(2), pages 53-65, December.
    8. Arno Vlist & Daniel Czamanski & Henk Folmer, 2011. "Immigration and urban housing market dynamics: the case of Haifa," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 47(3), pages 585-598, December.
    9. Çigdem Karis & Derya Altintas, 2021. "Tourism’s Effect on the Housing Prices in Turkey: The ARDL Bound Testing Approach," Bingol University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Bingol University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 5(1), pages 249-276, August.
    10. François Ortalo-Magné & Sven Rady, 2006. "Housing Market Dynamics: On the Contribution of Income Shocks and Credit Constraints ," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 73(2), pages 459-485.
    11. Duca, John V. & Muellbauer, John & Murphy, Anthony, 2010. "Housing markets and the financial crisis of 2007-2009: Lessons for the future," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 203-217, December.
    12. Francesco Tajani & Pierluigi Morano & Maria Paz Saez-Perez & Felicia Di Liddo & Marco Locurcio, 2019. "Multivariate Dynamic Analysis and Forecasting Models of Future Property Bubbles: Empirical Applications to the Housing Markets of Spanish Metropolitan Cities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-21, June.
    13. Mikulić, Josip & Vizek, Maruška & Stojčić, Nebojša & Payne, James E. & Čeh Časni, Anita & Barbić, Tajana, 2021. "The effect of tourism activity on housing affordability," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    14. David Boto-García & Veronica Leoni, 2022. "The hedonic value of coastal amenities in peer-to-peer markets," DEA Working Papers 94, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Departament d'Economía Aplicada.
    15. Taipalus, Katja, 2012. "Detecting asset price bubbles with time-series methods," Scientific Monographs, Bank of Finland, number 2012_047.
    16. David Boto-García & Veronica Leoni, 2023. "The Economic Value of Coastal Amenities: Evidence from Beach Capitalization Effects in Peer-to-Peer Markets," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 84(2), pages 529-557, February.
    17. Hernández, Juan M. & Suárez-Vega, Rafael & Santana-Jiménez, Yolanda, 2016. "The inter-relationship between rural and mass tourism: The case of Catalonia, Spain," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 43-57.
    18. Carr-Harris, Andrew & Lang, Corey, 2019. "Sustainability and tourism: the effect of the United States’ first offshore wind farm on the vacation rental market," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 51-67.
    19. repec:zbw:bofism:2012_047 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Ghysels, Eric & Plazzi, Alberto & Valkanov, Rossen & Torous, Walter, 2013. "Forecasting Real Estate Prices," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 509-580, Elsevier.
    21. Taipalus, Katja, 2012. "Detecting asset price bubbles with time-series methods," Bank of Finland Scientific Monographs, Bank of Finland, volume 0, number sm2012_047.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:22:y:2016:i:5:p:964-978. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.