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Political Institutions, Coercive Diplomacy, and the Duration of Economic Sanctions

Author

Listed:
  • Fiona McGillivray

    (Department of Politics, New York University)

  • Allan C. Stam

    (Department of Government, Dartmouth College)

Abstract

A theory of sanction duration that focuses on differences between democratic and nondemocratic states in the structure of leaders’ support coalitions is tested, using a hazard model to analyze a data set of 47 sanction events with 272 observations. Results show that leadership change strongly affects the duration of sanctions only in the case of nondemocratic states. Leadership change in democratic states is unrelated to the duration of sanctions; however, leadership change in nondemocratic sender and nondemocratic target states is strongly related to the ending of economic sanctions.

Suggested Citation

  • Fiona McGillivray & Allan C. Stam, 2004. "Political Institutions, Coercive Diplomacy, and the Duration of Economic Sanctions," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 48(2), pages 154-172, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:48:y:2004:i:2:p:154-172
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002703262858
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jerg Gutmann & Katarzyna Metelska-Szaniawska & Stefan Voigt, 2023. "Leader Characteristics and Constitutional Compliance," Working Papers 2023-11, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    2. Langlois Catherine C & Langlois Jean-Pierre P., 2010. "Costly Interference: A Game Theoretic Analysis of Sanctions," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 16(1), pages 1-34, June.
    3. Sajjad Faraji Dizaji & Peter A G van Bergeijk, 2013. "Potential early phase success and ultimate failure of economic sanctions," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 50(6), pages 721-736, November.
    4. Coyne,Christopher J., 2020. "Defense, Peace, and War Economics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781108724036.
    5. David Lektzian & Glen Biglaiser, 2014. "The effect of foreign direct investment on the use and success of US sanctions," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 31(1), pages 70-93, February.
    6. Christopher E.S. WARBURTON, 2016. "The International Law and Economics of Coercive Diplomacy: Macroeconomic Effects and Empirical Findings," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 16(1), pages 35-52.
    7. Hatipoglu, Emre & Soytas, Mehmet Ali & Belaïd, Fateh, 2023. "Environmental consequences of geopolitical crises: The case of economic sanctions and emissions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    8. Attia, Hana & Grauvogel, Julia & von Soest, Christian, 2020. "The termination of international sanctions: explaining target compliance and sender capitulation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    9. Nikolay Marinov, 2005. "Do Economic Sanctions Destabilize Country Leaders?," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 49(3), pages 564-576, July.
    10. Solomon Major & Anthony J. McGann, 2005. "Caught in the Crossfire," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 49(3), pages 337-359, June.
    11. José Caetano & Aurora Galego & António Caleiro, 2023. "On the Determinants of Sanctions Effectiveness: An Empirical Analysis by Using Duration Models," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-16, May.
    12. David Lektzian & Rimvydas Ragauskas, 2016. "The great blockade of Lithuania: Evaluating sanction theory with a case study of Soviet sanctions to prevent Lithuanian independence," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 19(4), pages 320-339, December.
    13. Hamid Beladi & Reza Oladi, 2009. "Partial Compliance with Economic Sanctions," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(1), pages 125-133, February.
    14. T. Clifton Morgan & Navin Bapat & Valentin Krustev, 2009. "The Threat and Imposition of Economic Sanctions, 1971—2000," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 26(1), pages 92-110, February.
    15. Elizabeth A. Stanley & John P. Sawyer, 2009. "The Equifinality of War Termination," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 53(5), pages 651-676, October.
    16. Byungwon Woo & Daniel Verdier, 2020. "A unifying theory of positive and negative incentives in international relations: sanctions, rewards, regime types, and compliance," Economics of Governance, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 215-236, September.
    17. Hana Attia & Julia Grauvogel, 2023. "International Sanctions Termination, 1990–2018: Introducing the IST dataset," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 60(4), pages 709-719, July.
    18. Marius Mehrl & Tobias Böhmelt, 2021. "How mediator leadership transitions influence mediation effectiveness," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 38(1), pages 45-62, January.
    19. Munoda Mararike, 2019. "Zimbabwe Economic Sanctions and Post-Colonial Hangover: A Critique of Zimbabwe Democracy Economic Recovery Act (ZDERA) – 2001 a2018," International Journal of Social Science Studies, Redfame publishing, vol. 7(1), pages 28-39, January.
    20. Elena V McLean & Kaisa H Hinkkainen & Luis De la Calle & Navin A Bapat, 2018. "Economic sanctions and the dynamics of terrorist campaigns," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 35(4), pages 378-401, July.
    21. Talya Bobick & Alastair Smith, 2013. "The impact of leader turnover on the onset and the resolution of WTO disputes," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 8(4), pages 423-445, December.
    22. Dizaji, S.F. & van Bergeijk, P.A.G., 2012. "Early phase success and long run failure of economic sanctions. With an application to Iran," ISS Working Papers - General Series 544, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
    23. David Lektzian & Mark Souva, 2007. "An Institutional Theory of Sanctions Onset and Success," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 51(6), pages 848-871, December.
    24. Valentin L. Krustev & T. Clifton Morgan, 2011. "Ending Economic Coercion: Domestic Politics and International Bargaining," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 28(4), pages 351-376, September.

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