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Tradičný a alternatívny pohľad na synchronizáciu hospodárskych cyklov v Európskej únii
[Traditional and Alternative Look at the Business Cycle Synchronisation in the European Union]

Author

Listed:
  • Marianna Siničáková
  • Veronika Šuliková
  • Ľubica Štiblárová

Abstract

The aim of the paper is to present traditional and alternative look at the evolution of business cycle synchronisation in the European Union throughout four periods determined according to integration process. Gradually we apply cross-correlations and rather alternative minimum spanning tree method to evaluate synchronization process and core or peripheral countries. An endogeneity argument and decreasing asymmetries among integrated countries were confirmed with a light rupture during financial and economic crisis. Position of France and Germany as core countries was corroborated. However, single monetary policy should be implemented according to average macroeconomic evolution in the euro area and not according to particular situation in France and/or Germany which could be inappropriate for certain countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Marianna Siničáková & Veronika Šuliková & Ľubica Štiblárová, 2018. "Tradičný a alternatívny pohľad na synchronizáciu hospodárskych cyklov v Európskej únii [Traditional and Alternative Look at the Business Cycle Synchronisation in the European Union]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(2), pages 260-277.
  • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2018:y:2018:i:2:id:1187:p:260-277
    DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1187
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic cycle; synchronisation; cross-correlations; minimum spanning tree approach; endogeneity argument;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles

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