IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pone00/0221264.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of environmental tax on green development: A nonlinear dynamical system analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Xinghua Fan
  • Xuxia Li
  • Jiuli Yin

Abstract

With green development becoming a global movement, environmental tax has been adopted by many governments to promote green development. This study analyzes the impact of environmental tax on green development by using a four-dimension dynamical system. The establishment of the system is based on the complex and dynamic interactions among economic development, pollution emissions, resources consumption, and environmental tax, where roles of environmental tax are reflected by the linear parameters. A theoretic analysis shows the complexity of the behavior of the system. Mainly, the existence of chaos is inferred by Lyapunov exponent spectrum and bifurcation diagram, then verified by the presence of a chaotic attractor. An empirical study of the green development dynamical system in China demonstrates the particular evolution paths of economic growth, pollution intensity, and resource intensity under different environmental tax parameters. Results indicate a robust beneficial role of environmental tax on green development. Furthermore, when an environmental tax is imposed, a firm government control, an active consumer awareness, an advanced technology level can stimulate economic growth, decrease pollution intensity, and control the resource intensity. But the government control has a stronger effect. This study provides a viable and promising approach to analyze the role of imposing an environmental tax on green development and may have potential application in other areas and countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Xinghua Fan & Xuxia Li & Jiuli Yin, 2019. "Impact of environmental tax on green development: A nonlinear dynamical system analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(9), pages 1-23, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0221264
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0221264
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0221264
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0221264&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pone.0221264?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Amundsen, Eirik S. & Schob, Ronnie, 1999. "Environmental taxes on exhaustible resources," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 311-329, June.
    2. Oueslati, Walid, 2014. "Environmental tax reform: Short-term versus long-term macroeconomic effects," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 190-201.
    3. Karydas, Christos & Zhang, Lin, 2019. "Green tax reform, endogenous innovation and the growth dividend," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 158-181.
    4. Yang, Yuying & Guo, Haixiang & Chen, Linfei & Liu, Xiao & Gu, Mingyun & Ke, Xiaoling, 2019. "Regional analysis of the green development level differences in Chinese mineral resource-based cities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 261-272.
    5. Lans Bovenberg, A. & de Mooij, Ruud A., 1997. "Environmental tax reform and endogenous growth," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 207-237, January.
    6. Bonnet, Céline & Bouamra-Mechemache, Zohra & Corre, Tifenn, 2018. "An Environmental Tax Towards More Sustainable Food: Empirical Evidence of the Consumption of Animal Products in France," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 48-61.
    7. Jin, Peizhen & Peng, Chong & Song, Malin, 2019. "Macroeconomic uncertainty, high-level innovation, and urban green development performance in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 1-18.
    8. Sannamari Pilpola & Vahid Arabzadeh & Jani Mikkola & Peter D. Lund, 2019. "Analyzing National and Local Pathways to Carbon-Neutrality from Technology, Emissions, and Resilience Perspectives—Case of Finland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-22, March.
    9. Gao, Yan & Liu, Gengyuan & Casazza, Marco & Hao, Yan & Zhang, Yan & Giannetti, Biagio F., 2018. "Economy-pollution nexus model of cities at river basin scale based on multi-agent simulation: A conceptual framework," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 379(C), pages 22-38.
    10. Barbier,Edward B., 2010. "A Global Green New Deal," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521132022.
    11. Fang, Guochang & Tian, Lixin & Sun, Mei & Fu, Min, 2012. "Analysis and application of a novel three-dimensional energy-saving and emission-reduction dynamic evolution system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 291-299.
    12. Yang, Zhenbing & Fan, Meiting & Shao, Shuai & Yang, Lili, 2017. "Does carbon intensity constraint policy improve industrial green production performance in China? A quasi-DID analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 271-282.
    13. Cai, Wei & Liu, Conghu & Zhang, Cuixia & Ma, Minda & Rao, Weizhen & Li, Wenyi & He, Kang & Gao, Mengdi, 2018. "Developing the ecological compensation criterion of industrial solid waste based on emergy for sustainable development," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 940-948.
    14. Shuai Shao, Zhenbing Yang, Lili Yang, and Shuang Ma, 2019. "Can China's Energy Intensity Constraint Policy Promote Total Factor Energy Efficiency? Evidence from the Industrial Sector," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4).
    15. Xiaoxi Li, 2014. "Scientific development and a new green deal," China Finance and Economic Review, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 1-8, December.
    16. Bosquet, Benoit, 2000. "Environmental tax reform: does it work? A survey of the empirical evidence," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 19-32, July.
    17. González, Rodrigo & Hosoda, Eiji B., 2016. "Environmental impact of aircraft emissions and aviation fuel tax in Japan," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 234-240.
    18. Ekins, Paul & Pollitt, Hector & Summerton, Philip & Chewpreecha, Unnada, 2012. "Increasing carbon and material productivity through environmental tax reform," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 365-376.
    19. Zhuang Miao & Tomas Baležentis & Zhihua Tian & Shuai Shao & Yong Geng & Rui Wu, 2019. "Environmental Performance and Regulation Effect of China’s Atmospheric Pollutant Emissions: Evidence from “Three Regions and Ten Urban Agglomerations”," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 74(1), pages 211-242, September.
    20. Niu, Tong & Yao, Xilong & Shao, Shuai & Li, Ding & Wang, Wenxi, 2018. "Environmental tax shocks and carbon emissions: An estimated DSGE model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 9-17.
    21. Wang, B. & Liu, L. & Huang, G.H. & Li, W. & Xie, Y.L., 2018. "Effects of carbon and environmental tax on power mix planning - A case study of Hebei Province, China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 645-657.
    22. Ekins, Paul & Pollitt, Hector & Barton, Jennifer & Blobel, Daniel, 2011. "The implications for households of environmental tax reform (ETR) in Europe," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(12), pages 2472-2485.
    23. Edward Barbier, 2010. "How is the Global Green New Deal going?," Nature, Nature, vol. 464(7290), pages 832-833, April.
    24. World Bank, 2012. "Inclusive Green Growth : The Pathway to Sustainable Development," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 6058, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Haijuan Yan & Xiaofei Hu & Dawei Wu & Jianing Zhang, 2021. "Exploring the green development path of the Yangtze River Economic Belt using the entropy weight method and fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(12), pages 1-22, December.
    2. Karmaker, Shamal Chandra & Hosan, Shahadat & Chapman, Andrew J. & Saha, Bidyut Baran, 2021. "The role of environmental taxes on technological innovation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    3. Gabriela MOTOI, 2020. "The Challenges And Opportunities Of Green Economy And Green Jobs.From A Global To A European Approach," Social Sciences and Education Research Review, Department of Communication, Journalism and Education Sciences, University of Craiova, vol. 7(2), pages 195-205, December.
    4. Shuai Chen & Jiameng Yang, 2023. "Environmental Pollution Liability Insurance Pricing and the Solvency of Insurance Companies in China: Based on the Black–Scholes Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(2), pages 1-21, January.
    5. Weijiang Liu & Tingting Liu, 2022. "Exploring the Impact and Path of Environmental Protection Tax on Different Air Pollutant Emissions," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(8), pages 1-14, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Karmaker, Shamal Chandra & Hosan, Shahadat & Chapman, Andrew J. & Saha, Bidyut Baran, 2021. "The role of environmental taxes on technological innovation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    2. Hassan, Mahmoud & Oueslati, Walid & Rousselière, Damien, 2020. "Environmental taxes, reforms and economic growth: an empirical analysis of panel data," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(3).
    3. Alberto Gago & Xavier Labandeira & Xiral López Otero, 2014. "A Panorama on Energy Taxes and Green Tax Reforms," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 208(1), pages 145-190, March.
    4. Rongrong Liu & Dong Chen & Suchang Yang & Yang Chen, 2021. "Evaluation of Green Development Efficiency of the Major Cities in Gansu Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-18, March.
    5. Jingbo Liang & Wuliyasu Bai & Qianqian Li & Xingyuan Zhang & Long Zhang, 2022. "Dynamic Mechanisms and Institutional Frameworks of China’s Green Development: An Analysis from the Perspective of Collaboration," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-18, May.
    6. Johannes Pfeiffer, 2017. "Fossil Resources and Climate Change – The Green Paradox and Resource Market Power Revisited in General Equilibrium," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 77.
    7. Mundaca, Luis & Markandya, Anil, 2016. "Assessing regional progress towards a ‘Green Energy Economy’," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 1372-1394.
    8. Delgado, Francisco J. & Freire-González, Jaume & Presno, Maria J., 2022. "Environmental taxation in the European Union: Are there common trends?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 670-682.
    9. Mundaca, Luis & Luth Richter, Jessika, 2015. "Assessing ‘green energy economy’ stimulus packages: Evidence from the U.S. programs targeting renewable energy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1174-1186.
    10. Shmelev, Stanislav E. & Speck, Stefan U., 2018. "Green fiscal reform in Sweden: Econometric assessment of the carbon and energy taxation scheme," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 969-981.
    11. Gramkow, Camila, 2020. "Green fiscal policies: An armoury of instruments to recover growth sustainably," Estudios y Perspectivas – Oficina de la CEPAL en Brasilia 45418, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    12. Anita Fajczak-Kowalska & Anna Misztal & Magdalena Kowalska, 2021. "Energy, Pollution, and Transport Taxes as Instruments of Sustainable Development of Manufacturing Enterprises in Emerging Economies in the European Union," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2B), pages 724-742.
    13. Senz, Anja (Ed.) & Reinhardt, Dieter (Ed.), 2010. "Green Governance - One Solution for two problems? Climate change and economic shocks: risk perceptions and coping strategies in China, India and Bangladesh," Working Papers on East Asian Studies 86/2010, University of Duisburg-Essen, Institute of East Asian Studies IN-EAST.
    14. Roeder, Kerstin & Habla, Wolfgang, 2012. "The Political Sustainability of Germany's Environmental Tax Rate," VfS Annual Conference 2012 (Goettingen): New Approaches and Challenges for the Labor Market of the 21st Century 62060, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    15. Shengli Dai & Weimin Zhang & Jiamin Zong & Yingying Wang & Ge Wang, 2021. "How Effective Is the Green Development Policy of China’s Yangtze River Economic Belt? A Quantitative Evaluation Based on the PMC-Index Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(14), pages 1-17, July.
    16. Frank W. Geels, 2013. "The Impact of the Financial and Economic Crisis on Sustainability Transitions: Financial Investment, Governance and Public Discourse. WWWforEurope Working Paper No. 39," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 47014, February.
    17. Pei Zhao & Junhua Guo & Yang Wang, 2023. "How Does the Digital Economy Affect Green Development?—Evidence from 284 Cities in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-24, July.
    18. Yunmin Chen & Brian Chi-ang Lin & John E. Anderson, 2016. "Environmental Sustainability And The Greened Samuelson Rule," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(3), pages 482-496, July.
    19. Dan Brockington, 2012. "A Radically Conservative Vision? The Challenge of UNEP's Towards a Green Economy," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 43(1), pages 409-422, January.
    20. Chao Wei & Shanjun Li, 2014. "The Cost of Greening Stimulus: A Dynamic Discrete Choice Analysis of Vehicle Scrappage Programs," Working Papers 2014-12, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0221264. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: plosone (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.