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The Great Recession and a Missing Generation of Exporters

Author

Listed:
  • William F. Lincoln

    (Claremont McKenna College)

  • Andrew H. McCallum

    (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System)

  • Michael Siemer

    (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System)

Abstract

We study the impact of foreign market entry and exit by firms on the trajectory of U.S. exports during and after the Great Recession. Using confidential microdata from the U.S. Census Bureau, we find that incumbent exporters were primarily responsible for the changes in aggregate foreign sales during these years. While there was a substantial decline in the number of firms that sold abroad in the midst of the crisis, new exporters during the recovery compensated for this by having larger foreign sales. Thus, while changes in foreign market participation drove substantial shifts in the variety of U.S. goods that were exported, overall they were less important for the trajectory of total foreign sales over time.

Suggested Citation

  • William F. Lincoln & Andrew H. McCallum & Michael Siemer, 2019. "The Great Recession and a Missing Generation of Exporters," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(4), pages 703-745, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:pal:imfecr:v:67:y:2019:i:4:d:10.1057_s41308-019-00091-3
    DOI: 10.1057/s41308-019-00091-3
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Great recession; Business cycles; Exports; Entry; Exit; Firm dynamics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • J2 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor

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