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Balance sectorial utilizando modelos matemáticos. Aplicación en Cuba
[Sectorial balance using mathematical models. Application in Cuba]

Author

Listed:
  • Moreno García, Roberto René

    (Universidad de Oriente (Cuba))

  • Parra Pérez, Katia María

    (Universidad de Oriente (Cuba))

  • Moreno Parra, Rodolfo Roberto

    (Universidad de la Habana (Cuba))

  • Pacheco Feria, Ulises

    (Universidad de Oriente (Cuba))

  • Nieto Columbié, José Daniel

    (Universidad de Oriente (Cuba))

  • Soulary Carracedo, Víctor Salvador

    (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid (España))

  • Piedra-Muñoz, Laura

    (Universidad de Almería (España))

  • Galdeano Gómez, Emilio

    (Universidad de Almería (España))

Abstract

El artículo tiene como objetivo analizar los desbalances o desequilibrios sectoriales en la producción de bienes y servicios, identificados en la estructura productiva de Cuba, siguiendo una metodología que incluye la modelización matemática. Se diseñan y aplican modelos econométricos y de programación por metas (GP) para evaluar la importancia relativa, estimar y resolver los desequilibrios entre los sectores económicos de destinos intermedio y final de la economía cubana. Lo que posibilita el diseño de políticas públicas enfocadas a la mejora de la complementariedad e integración económica; aspecto relevante en el proceso de actualización del modelo económico y social cubano, refrendado en los documentos gubernamentales que rigen la reforma económica emprendida en 2011. Se aplica la metodología en la provincia de Santiago de Cuba, donde se estimaron desequilibrios sectoriales e identificaron reservas de capacidades productivas de bienes y servicios por 42.500 millones de pesos para equilibrar los desbalances, lo que puede contribuir a la toma de decisiones de inversión en el marco de la estrategia de desarrollo económico y social del país hasta 2030.

Suggested Citation

  • Moreno García, Roberto René & Parra Pérez, Katia María & Moreno Parra, Rodolfo Roberto & Pacheco Feria, Ulises & Nieto Columbié, José Daniel & Soulary Carracedo, Víctor Salvador & Piedra-Muñoz, Laura , 2022. "Balance sectorial utilizando modelos matemáticos. Aplicación en Cuba [Sectorial balance using mathematical models. Application in Cuba]," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 34(1), pages 155-176, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:pab:rmcpee:v:34:y:2022:i:1:p:155-176
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.46661/revmetodoscuanteconempresa.6089
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    2. Rodrigo Suescún & Roberto Steiner, 2017. "Un modelo de equilibrio general dinámico para la evaluación de la política económica en Colombia," Informes de Investigación 15736, Fedesarrollo.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    balance sectorial; econometría; programación por metas; sectorial balance; econometric; goal programming;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity

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