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Un modelo de equilibrio general dinámico para la evaluación de la política económica en Colombia

Author

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  • Rodrigo Suescún
  • Roberto Steiner

Abstract

Este documento presenta un modelo de equilibrio general dinámico para el análisis de la economía colombiana. A diferencia de la mayoría de modelos de equilibrio general aplicado, este integra simultáneamente (i) el modelamiento dinámico de la toma de decisiones; (ii) la posibilidad de simular política económica discrecional; y (iii) un tratamiento explícito de los encadenamientos intersectoriales en la economía. Gracias a esto, resulta idóneo para responder preguntas que no se prestan para ser estudiadas con otros modelos económicos, como los modelos de equilibrio general dinámico estocástico (DSGE) o los modelos de equilibrio general computable (CGE). El trabajo consta de cuatro capítulos. En el primero se hace una detallada revisión de la literatura, tanto teórica como de modelos aplicados al caso de Colombia. Queremos con ello hacer plena claridad respecto del vacío que pretendemos llenar con nuestro trabajo. El segundo capítulo desarrolla el modelo mientras que en el tercero se presenta la calibración de los parámetros. El cuarto capítulo se presenta un par de simulaciones para ilustrar el uso del modelo.

Suggested Citation

  • Rodrigo Suescún & Roberto Steiner, 2017. "Un modelo de equilibrio general dinámico para la evaluación de la política económica en Colombia," Informes de Investigación 15736, Fedesarrollo.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000124:015736
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11445/3449
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    Cited by:

    1. Botero García, Jesús Alonso & Hurtado, Alvaro & Montañez Herrera, Diego Fernando, 2021. "The productivity of the agricultural sector and its effects on economic growth: a CGE analysis," Conference papers 333318, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    2. Moreno García, Roberto René & Parra Pérez, Katia María & Moreno Parra, Rodolfo Roberto & Pacheco Feria, Ulises & Nieto Columbié, José Daniel & Soulary Carracedo, Víctor Salvador & Piedra-Muñoz, Laura , 2022. "Balance sectorial utilizando modelos matemáticos. Aplicación en Cuba [Sectorial balance using mathematical models. Application in Cuba]," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 34(1), pages 155-176, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Modelos de Equilibrio General Computable; Política EconómicaEconomía Colombiana; Evaluación Económica; Colombia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • D04 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Microeconomic Policy: Formulation; Implementation; Evaluation

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