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Government ideology and fiscal consolidation: Where and when do government parties adjust public spending?

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  • Helmut Herwartz

    (Georg-August-University)

  • Bernd Theilen

    (Universitat Rovira i Virgili)

Abstract

Recent studies indicate that the ideological stances of government parties no are longer associated with differences in total government spending. At the same time, we observe that political polarization over spending policies has deepened. This paper addresses that puzzle by analyzing government spending behavior for ten expenditure categories during both ‘normal’ times and periods of fiscal consolidation between 1995 and 2015 for 16 OECD countries. Our results indicate that partisan motives prevail in ‘normal’ times: right-wing cabinets spend more on defense and less on education and environmental protection than left-wing governments. On the other hand, in periods of fiscal adjustment, differences between left- and right-wing government expenditures can be observed mostly in different budget categories. For instance, during fiscal consolidations, right-wing governments reduce spending more than their left-wing counterparts on those categories featuring large shares of public employee compensation (i.e., public consumption spending) and small capital-expenditure shares. Hence, a central message of this paper helping to resolve the aforementioned puzzle is that ideological differences remain important after taking a comprehensive look at individual spending categories and distinguishing between periods with and without adjustments.

Suggested Citation

  • Helmut Herwartz & Bernd Theilen, 2021. "Government ideology and fiscal consolidation: Where and when do government parties adjust public spending?," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 187(3), pages 375-401, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:pubcho:v:187:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s11127-020-00785-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s11127-020-00785-7
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fiscal consolidation; Government ideology; Public spending categories; Central government expenditures; Narrative identification;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C24 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Truncated and Censored Models; Switching Regression Models; Threshold Regression Models
    • C26 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation
    • E13 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Neoclassical
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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