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Macroeconomic Determinants of Inflation In Ghana: A Co integration Approach

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  • Patrick Enu
  • Emmanuel Dodzi K. Havi

Abstract

This paper examined the macroeconomic determinants of inflation in Ghana using a cointegration approach. The main purpose of the paper is to investigate whether population growth, foreign direct investment, foreign aid, agricultural and service’s output have a significance influence on the inflationary situations experienced in Ghana over the study period. The method of analysis was the cointegration analysis. The stationarity properties of all the variables of interest were checked and established. All the variables under consideration were found to be integrated of order one, that is, I (1). Johansen cointegration approach showed that there is both long and short run relationship among the variables; therefore, the vector error correction model was estimated. The study identified population growth, foreign direct investment, foreign aid, and service’s output as major long run determinants of inflation in Ghana.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick Enu & Emmanuel Dodzi K. Havi, 2014. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Inflation In Ghana: A Co integration Approach," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 4(7), pages 95-110, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:hur:ijarbs:v:4:y:2014:i:7:p:95-110
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Song Han & Casey B. Mulligan, 2008. "Inflation and the size of government," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 90(May), pages 245-267.
    2. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
    3. Kilindo A A L, 1997. "Fiscal operations, money supply and inflation in Tanzania," Working Papers 65, African Economic Research Consortium, Research Department.
    4. Kilindo, A.A.L., 1997. "Fiscal Operations, Money Supply and Inflation in Tanzania," Papers 65, African Economic Research Consortium.
    5. Mathew Kofi Ocran, 2007. "A Modelling of Ghana's Inflation Experience: 1960–2003," Working Papers 169, African Economic Research Consortium, Research Department.
    6. Jerome Fahrer & Justin Myatt, 1991. "Inflation in Australia: Causes, Inertia and Policy," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9105, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    7. Mr. Kadima D. Kalonji & Jan Gottschalk & Mr. Ken Miyajima, 2008. "Analyzing Determinants of Inflation When There Are Data Limitation: The Case of Sierra Leone," IMF Working Papers 2008/271, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    9. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    10. Friedman, Milton, 1976. "Inflation and Unemployment," Nobel Prize in Economics documents 1976-1, Nobel Prize Committee.
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    1. Mahatma Kufepaksi & Gunawan -, 2018. "The Role of Intellectual Capital in Overcoming the Slowing Economic Growth in Indonesia," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(10), pages 1-97, October.
    2. Ruzima, Martin & Veerachamy, P, 2015. "A Study on Determinants of Inflation in Rwanda from 1970-2013," MPRA Paper 73222, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Nishija Unnikrishnan & Thomas Paul Kattookaran, 2020. "Impact of Public and Private Infrastructure Investment on Economic Growth: Evidence from India," Journal of Infrastructure Development, India Development Foundation, vol. 12(2), pages 119-138, December.
    4. Boachie, Micheal Kofi, 2015. "Effect of health on economic growth in Ghana:An application of ARDL bounds test to cointegration," MPRA Paper 67201, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Samuel Tolasa & Sisay Tolla Whakeshum & Negese Tamirat Mulatu, 2022. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Inflation in Ethiopia: ARDL Approach to Cointegration," European Journal of Business Science and Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 96-120.

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