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Causality and Price Discovery: An Application of Directed Acyclic Graphs Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Michael S. Haigh (U.S. CFTC and University of Maryland)
David A. Bessler (Texas A&M University)
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Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAG's) and Error Correction Models (ECM's) are employed to analyze questions of price discovery between spatially separated commodity markets and the transportation market linking them together. Results from our analysis suggest these markets are highly interconnected but it is the inland commodity market that is strongly influenced by both the transportation and commodity export markets. However, the commodity markets affect the volatility of the transportation market over longer horizons. Our results suggest that transportation rates are critical in the price discovery process lending support for the recent development of exchange traded barge rate futures contracts.
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Article provided by University of Chicago Press in its journal Journal of Business .
Volume (Year): 77 (2004)
Issue (Month): 4 (October)
Pages: 1099-1098
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Handle: RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:77:y:2004:i:4:p:1099-1098Contact details of provider: Postal: The University of Chicago Press, Journals Division, P.O. Box 37005 Chicago, IL 60637 Web page: http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/JB/home.html
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Paper Haigh, Michael S. & Bessler, David A., 2002.
"Causality And Price Discovery: An Application Of Directed Acyclic Graphs ,"
2002 Conference, April 22-23, 2002, St. Louis, Missouri
19057, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
[Downloadable!] Haigh, Michael S. & Bessler, David A., 2002.
"Causality And Price Discovery: An Application Of Directed Acyclic Graphs ,"
Working Papers
28588, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
[Downloadable!] References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Haigh, Michael S & Holt, Matthew T, 2000.
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