IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v14y2022i23p15540-d980795.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatiotemporal Land-Use Dynamics in Continental Portugal 1995–2018

Author

Listed:
  • André Alves

    (Directorate-General for Territory, 1099-052 Lisbon, Portugal)

  • Filipe Marcelino

    (Directorate-General for Territory, 1099-052 Lisbon, Portugal)

  • Eduardo Gomes

    (Centre of Geographical Studies, Institute of Geography and Spatial Planning, University of Lisbon, 1600-276 Lisbon, Portugal
    Associate Laboratory TERRA, 1349-017 Lisbon, Portugal)

  • Jorge Rocha

    (Centre of Geographical Studies, Institute of Geography and Spatial Planning, University of Lisbon, 1600-276 Lisbon, Portugal
    Associate Laboratory TERRA, 1349-017 Lisbon, Portugal)

  • Mário Caetano

    (Directorate-General for Territory, 1099-052 Lisbon, Portugal
    NOVA Information Management School (NOVA IMS), University NOVA of Lisbon, 1070-312 Lisbon, Portugal)

Abstract

Monitoring land-use patterns and its trends provides useful information for impact evaluation and policy design. The latest in-depth studies of land-use dynamics for continental Portugal are outdated, and have not examined how municipalities may be classified into a typology of observed dynamics or considered the trajectory profiles of land-use transitions. This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of the spatiotemporal dynamics of land-use in continental Portugal from 1995 to 2018. Our multi-scalar approach used land-use maps in geographic information systems with the following objectives: (i) quantify variations of land-use classes, (ii) assess the transitions between uses, and (iii) derive a municipal typology of land-use dynamics. The methodology employed involved calculating statistical indicators of land-use classes, transition matrices between uses and combinatorial analysis for the most common trajectory-profiles. For the typology, a principal component analysis was used for dimensionality reduction and the respective components were classified by testing several clustering techniques. Results showed that the land-use transitions were not homogeneous in space or time, leading to the growth of territorial asymmetries. Forest (Δ5%), water bodies (Δ28%) and artificial surfaces (Δ35%) had a greater expansion, as opposed to agricultural areas, which had the biggest decline (Δ-8%). Despite the decline of agricultural activities, olive-grove expansion (Δ7%) was a relevant dynamic, and in the case of forests, the increment of eucalyptus (Δ34%) replaced native species such as the maritime pine (Δ-20%). A land-use-dynamics typology was estimated, dividing continental Portugal into 11 clusters, which is informative for sectoral policies and spatial planning, as zonings in need of interventions tailored to their specificities. The findings are a contribution to the study of land-use dynamics in continental Portugal, presenting various challenges for sustainable land uses with regard to the urban system, forest management, food production, soil preservation, and ecosystem protection.

Suggested Citation

  • André Alves & Filipe Marcelino & Eduardo Gomes & Jorge Rocha & Mário Caetano, 2022. "Spatiotemporal Land-Use Dynamics in Continental Portugal 1995–2018," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-29, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:23:p:15540-:d:980795
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/23/15540/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/23/15540/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert Mendelsohn & Ariel Dinar, 2009. "Land Use and Climate Change Interactions," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 1(1), pages 309-332, September.
    2. Clémence Guillard-Gonçalves & Susan L. Cutter & Christopher T. Emrich & José Luís Zêzere, 2015. "Application of Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI) and delineation of natural risk zones in Greater Lisbon, Portugal," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(5), pages 651-674, May.
    3. Hualou Long & Yingnan Zhang & Li Ma & Shuangshuang Tu, 2021. "Land Use Transitions: Progress, Challenges and Prospects," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-20, August.
    4. Frank Biermann & Thomas Hickmann & Carole-Anne Sénit & Marianne Beisheim & Steven Bernstein & Pamela Chasek & Leonie Grob & Rakhyun E. Kim & Louis J. Kotzé & Måns Nilsson & Andrea Ordóñez Llanos & Chu, 2022. "Scientific evidence on the political impact of the Sustainable Development Goals," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 5(9), pages 795-800, September.
    5. F. Ferreira-Leite & A. Bento-Gonçalves & A. Vieira & A. Nunes & L. Lourenço, 2016. "Incidence and recurrence of large forest fires in mainland Portugal," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(2), pages 1035-1053, November.
    6. Bruno M. Meneses & Eusébio Reis & Susana Pereira & Maria J. Vale & Rui Reis, 2017. "Understanding Driving Forces and Implications Associated with the Land Use and Land Cover Changes in Portugal," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-20, February.
    7. Alexandre Oliveira Tavares & Mário Monteiro & José Leandro Barros & Pedro Pinto Santos, 2019. "Long-term land-use changes in small/medium-sized cities. Enhancing the general trends and local characteristics," European Planning Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(7), pages 1432-1459, July.
    8. Sylvia Szabo, 2016. "Urbanisation and Food Insecurity Risks: Assessing the Role of Human Development," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(1), pages 28-48, January.
    9. Anderson, Kym, 1987. "On why agriculture declines with economic growth," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 1(3), pages 195-207, October.
    10. Haynes, Kingsley E. & Kulkarni, Rajender & Sahay, Harshvardhan & Stough, Roger R., 2021. "Limits on city size and related topics," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    11. Golub, Alla & W. Hertel, Thomas, 2008. "Global Economic Integration and Land Use Change," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 23, pages 463-488.
    12. Karishma Asarpota & Vincent Nadin, 2020. "Energy Strategies, the Urban Dimension, and Spatial Planning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-25, July.
    13. Guzmán, G. & Boumahdi, A. & Gómez, J.A., 2022. "Expansion of olive orchards and their impact on the cultivation and landscape through a case study in the countryside of Cordoba (Spain)," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    14. Camagni, Roberto & Gibelli, Maria Cristina & Rigamonti, Paolo, 2002. "Urban mobility and urban form: the social and environmental costs of different patterns of urban expansion," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 199-216, February.
    15. Nichiforel, Liviu & Deuffic, Philippe & Thorsen, Bo Jellesmark & Weiss, Gerhard & Hujala, Teppo & Keary, Kevin & Lawrence, Anna & Avdibegović, Mersudin & Dobšinská, Zuzana & Feliciano, Diana & Górriz-, 2020. "Two decades of forest-related legislation changes in European countries analysed from a property rights perspective," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    16. Raquel Faria de Deus & José António Tenedório, 2021. "Coastal Land-Use and Land-Cover Change Trajectories: Are They Sustainable?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-24, August.
    17. Tian, Yasi & Qian, Jing & Wang, Lei, 2021. "Village classification in metropolitan suburbs from the perspective of urban-rural integration and improvement strategies: A case study of Wuhan, central China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    18. Xuchao Yang & Wenze Yue & Honghui Xu & Jingsheng Wu & Yue He, 2014. "Environmental Consequences of Rapid Urbanization in Zhejiang Province, East China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-15, July.
    19. Glenn Milligan, 1981. "A monte carlo study of thirty internal criterion measures for cluster analysis," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 46(2), pages 187-199, June.
    20. Cláudia M. Viana & Dulce Freire & Patrícia Abrantes & Jorge Rocha, 2021. "Evolution of Agricultural Production in Portugal during 1850–2018: A Geographical and Historical Perspective," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-18, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Danjie Shen & Shujing Dong, 2022. "Transition of Urban Morphology in the Mountainous Areas Since Early-Modern Times from the Perspective of Urban Historic Landscape—A GIS Tools and Historical Map Translation Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-21, October.
    2. Lü, Da & Gao, Guangyao & Lü, Yihe & Xiao, Feiyan & Fu, Bojie, 2020. "Detailed land use transition quantification matters for smart land management in drylands: An in-depth analysis in Northwest China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    3. Poduška, Zoran & Nedeljković, Jelena & Nonić, Dragan & Ratknić, Tatjana & Ratknić, Mihailo & Živojinović, Ivana, 2020. "Intrapreneurial climate as momentum for fostering employee innovativeness in public forest enterprises," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    4. Weng, Yuwei & Chang, Shiyan & Cai, Wenjia & Wang, Can, 2019. "Exploring the impacts of biofuel expansion on land use change and food security based on a land explicit CGE model: A case study of China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 514-525.
    5. Yi Ge & Guangfei Yang & Yi Chen & Wen Dou, 2019. "Examining Social Vulnerability and Inequality: A Joint Analysis through a Connectivity Lens in the Urban Agglomerations of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-19, February.
    6. Bo Liu & Desheng Xue & Yiming Tan, 2019. "Deciphering the Manufacturing Production Space in Global City-Regions of Developing Countries—a Case of Pearl River Delta, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-26, December.
    7. Carlos Gaviria, 2011. "The Post-war International Food Order: The Case of Agriculture in Colombia," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 74, pages 119-150.
    8. Katrina Raynor & Severine Mayere & Tony Matthews, 2018. "Do ‘city shapers’ really support urban consolidation? The case of Brisbane, Australia," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 55(5), pages 1056-1075, April.
    9. Eduardo Medeiros & Bernardo Valente & Ricardo Pinto & Miguel Sales Dias, 2023. "Using the Impact-WEB_GIS Platform to Assess the Impacts of Environmental Sustainability Public Policies in the Lisbon Metropolitan Area," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-16, December.
    10. Yan Yan & Hui Liu & Ningcheng Wang & Shenjun Yao, 2021. "How Does Low-Density Urbanization Reduce the Financial Sustainability of Chinese Cities? A Debt Perspective," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-18, September.
    11. Ali Enes Dingil & Federico Rupi & Domokos Esztergár-Kiss, 2021. "An Integrative Review of Socio-Technical Factors Influencing Travel Decision-Making and Urban Transport Performance," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-20, September.
    12. Offutt, Susan & Shoemaker, Robbin, 1989. "Distribution of Domestic Policy Benefits and the Willingness to Support Trade Liberalization," 1989 Occasional Paper Series No. 5 197669, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    13. Bailey, A. & Williams, N. & Palmer, M. & Geering, R., 2000. "The farmer as service provider: the demand for agricultural commodities and equine services," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 66(3), pages 191-204, December.
    14. Andrew Allan & Ali Soltani & Mohammad Hamed Abdi & Melika Zarei, 2022. "Driving Forces behind Land Use and Land Cover Change: A Systematic and Bibliometric Review," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-20, August.
    15. Souche, Stéphanie, 2009. "Un exemple d’estimation de la demande de transport urbain," Revue d'économie régionale et urbaine, Editions NecPlus, vol. 2009(04), pages 759-779, December.
    16. Punyasavatsut, Chaiyuth & Coxhead, Ian A., 2002. "On The Decline Of Agriculture In Developing Countries: A Reinterpretation Of The Evidence," Staff Papers 12659, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    17. Rogier Pennings & Bart Wiegmans & Tejo Spit, 2020. "Can We Have Our Cake and Still Eat It? A Review of Flexibility in the Structural Spatial Development and Passenger Transport Relation in Developing Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-25, July.
    18. Xinyao Li & Lingzhi Wang & Bryan Pijanowski & Lingpeng Pan & Hichem Omrani & Anqi Liang & Yi Qu, 2022. "The Spatio-Temporal Pattern and Transition Mode of Recessive Cultivated Land Use Morphology in the Huaibei Region of the Jiangsu Province," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-16, November.
    19. Salvati, Luca & Sateriano, Adele & Grigoriadis, Efstathios & Carlucci, Margherita, 2017. "New wine in old bottles: The (changing) socioeconomic attributes of sprawl during building boom and stagnation," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 361-372.
    20. Junhua Chen & Shufan Ma & Na Liu, 2023. "Multi-dimensional Housing Inequality Index: The Provincial Evidence from China," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 165(2), pages 633-654, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:23:p:15540-:d:980795. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.