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From 'predict and provide' to 'predict and prevent'?: Pricing and planning in transport policy

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  • Owens, Susan

Abstract

Transport policy in Britain is under the influence of a 'new realism'. This paper explores policy instruments which are central to the new approach--'getting the price right' and influencing travel patterns through land use planning. It suggests that the concept of the 'right' price is problematic, that land use measures are necessary but not sufficient and that neither pricing nor planning policies are likely, in isolation, to have sufficient effect across the range of environmental impacts of transport. A sustainable transport policy means maximising accessibility within environmental constraints and must be achieved by means of a co-ordinated policy package.

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  • Owens, Susan, 1995. "From 'predict and provide' to 'predict and prevent'?: Pricing and planning in transport policy," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 43-49, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:2:y:1995:i:1:p:43-49
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    1. Virley, Simon, 1993. "The effect of fuel price increases on road transport CO2 emissions," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 43-48, October.
    2. Cropper, Maureen L & Oates, Wallace E, 1992. "Environmental Economics: A Survey," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 30(2), pages 675-740, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Harriet Bulkeley & Tim Rayner, 2003. "New Realism and Local Realities: Local Transport Planning in Leicester and Cambridgeshire," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 40(1), pages 35-55, January.
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    3. Tornberg, Patrik & Odhage, John, 2018. "Making transport planning more collaborative? The case of Strategic Choice of Measures in Swedish transport planning," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 416-429.
    4. Hansson, Lisa, 2020. "Visual representation in urban transport planning: Where have all the cars gone?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 1-11.
    5. Cadena Gaitan, Carlos, 2012. "Political determinants of sustainable transport in Latin American cities," MERIT Working Papers 2012-072, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    6. Miller, Harvey J., 2013. "Beyond sharing: cultivating cooperative transportation systems through geographic information science," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 296-308.
    7. Simon Marvin & Simon Guy, 1997. "Infrastructure Provision, Development Processes and the Co-production of Environmental Value," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 34(12), pages 2023-2036, December.
    8. Geels, Frank W., 2012. "A socio-technical analysis of low-carbon transitions: introducing the multi-level perspective into transport studies," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 471-482.
    9. Willems, Jannes J., 2018. "Beyond maintenance: Emerging discourses on waterway renewal in the Netherlands," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 1-12.
    10. Vanoutrive, Thomas & Zijlstra, Toon, 2018. "Who has the right to travel during peak hours? On congestion pricing and ‘desirable’ travellers," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 98-107.
    11. te Brömmelstroet, Marco & Skou Nicolaisen, Morten & Büttner, Benjamin & Ferreira, Antonio, 2017. "Experiences with transportation models: An international survey of planning practices," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 10-18.
    12. Schwanen, Tim & Banister, David & Anable, Jillian, 2011. "Scientific research about climate change mitigation in transport: A critical review," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 45(10), pages 993-1006.
    13. Huw C W L Williams & Dirk Van Vliet & Kwang Sik Kim, 2001. "The Contribution of Suppressed and Induced Traffic in Highway Appraisal, Part 1: Reference States," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 33(6), pages 1057-1082, June.
    14. Marijn T. Geet & Stefan Verweij & Tim Busscher & Jos Arts, 2021. "The importance of policy design fit for effectiveness: a qualitative comparative analysis of policy integration in regional transport planning," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 54(3), pages 629-662, September.
    15. Chengliang Liu & Qinchang Gui, 2016. "Mapping intellectual structures and dynamics of transport geography research: a scientometric overview from 1982 to 2014," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 109(1), pages 159-184, October.
    16. Blainey, Simon P. & Preston, John M., 2019. "Predict or prophesy? Issues and trade-offs in modelling long-term transport infrastructure demand and capacity," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 165-173.
    17. Tapio, Petri, 2005. "Towards a theory of decoupling: degrees of decoupling in the EU and the case of road traffic in Finland between 1970 and 2001," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 137-151, March.
    18. Patsy Healey, 1999. "Sites, Jobs and Portfolios: Economic Development Discourses in the Planning System," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 36(1), pages 27-42, January.
    19. Nostikasari, Dian, 2015. "Representations of everyday travel experiences: Case study of the Dallas-Fort Worth Metropolitan Area," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 96-107.
    20. Arsenio, Elisabete & Martens, Karel & Di Ciommo, Floridea, 2016. "Sustainable urban mobility plans: Bridging climate change and equity targets?," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 30-39.
    21. Tennøy, Aud, 2010. "Why we fail to reduce urban road traffic volumes: Does it matter how planners frame the problem?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 216-223, August.
    22. Langmyhr, Tore, 1997. "Managing equity : The case of road pricing," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 25-39, January.
    23. Lowry, Michael B., 2010. "Using optimization to program projects in the era of communicative rationality," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 94-101, March.
    24. Walton, William, 1997. "The potential scope for the application of pollution permits to reducing car ownership in the UK : Some preliminary thoughts," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 115-122, April.
    25. Wong, Jinn-Tsai, 1997. "Basic concepts for a system for advance booking for highway use," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 109-114, April.

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