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Modelling users’ behaviour of a carsharing program: Application of a joint hazard and zero inflated dynamic ordered probability model


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  • Habib, Khandker M. Nurul
  • Morency, Catherine
  • Islam, Mohammed Tazul
  • Grasset, Vincent
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    This paper presents an econometric model for the behaviour of carsharing users. The econometric model is developed to jointly forecast membership duration, the decision to become an active member in a particular month, and the frequency of monthly usage of active members. The model is estimated using the membership directory and monthly transaction data of a carsharing program, ‘Communauto Inc.’, based in Montréal, Canada. The model shows a high degree of fit to the observed dataset and provides many behavioural details of carsharing users. The results are instructive to carsharing planners in devising efficient policies.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice.

    Volume (Year): 46 (2012)
    Issue (Month): 2 ()
    Pages: 241-254

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:46:y:2012:i:2:p:241-254

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    Keywords: Crashing; Travel demand; Travel mode; Zero inflation; Joint econometric model;


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    1. Shaheen, Susan A., 1999. "Dynamics in Behavioral Adaptation to a Transportation Innovation: A Case Study of Carlink-A Smart Carsharing System," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt9w53q5xq, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    2. Harris, Mark N. & Zhao, Xueyan, 2007. "A zero-inflated ordered probit model, with an application to modelling tobacco consumption," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 1073-1099, December.
    3. Stillwater, Tai & Mokhtarian, Patricia L & Shaheen, Susan, 2008. "Carsharing and the Built Environment: A GIS-Based Study of One U.S. Operator," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt2wj7q6cm, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
    4. Iliescu, Dan C. & Garrow, Laurie A. & Parker, Roger A., 2008. "A hazard model of US airline passengers' refund and exchange behavior," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 229-242, March.
    5. Steininger, Karl & Vogl, Caroline & Zettl, Ralph, 1996. "Car-sharing organizations : The size of the market segment and revealed change in mobility behavior," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 177-185, October.
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    Cited by:
    1. Firnkorn, Jörg, 2012. "Triangulation of two methods measuring the impacts of a free-floating carsharing system in Germany," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(10), pages 1654-1672.
    2. Nourinejad, Mehdi & Roorda, Matthew J., 2014. "A dynamic carsharing decision support system," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 36-50.


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