IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/riibaf/v50y2019icp171-190.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Are IPOs underpriced or overpriced? Evidence from an emerging market

Author

Listed:
  • Rathnayake, Dilesha Nawadali
  • Louembé, Pierre Axel
  • Kassi, Diby François
  • Sun, Gang
  • Ning, Ding

Abstract

Underpricing of Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) is one of the most widely studied anomalies in the literature on financial economics. This paper examines the short-run IPO performance in an emerging market by using the data of 148 IPOs listed on the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) from 1991 to 2017. We found that IPOs on average were underpriced by 47% and that 32 IPOs were overpriced by approximately 17%–18%. The stepwise multiple regression results showed that offer risk, investor sentiment, firm size, market volatility prior to the IPOs, the time lag between IPO issue date and CSE listing date, and hot-issue periods have a significant relationship with IPO returns. The outcomes are hence consistent with the prediction of ex-ante uncertainty, windows of opportunity and the investor sentiment hypotheses. Overall, the results indicate that in Sri Lanka, underpricing accounts for a greater percentage of the IPOs than overpricing.

Suggested Citation

  • Rathnayake, Dilesha Nawadali & Louembé, Pierre Axel & Kassi, Diby François & Sun, Gang & Ning, Ding, 2019. "Are IPOs underpriced or overpriced? Evidence from an emerging market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 171-190.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:50:y:2019:i:c:p:171-190
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2019.04.013
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0275531918309280
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ribaf.2019.04.013?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Paudyal, K. & Saadouni, B. & Briston, R. J., 1998. "Privatisation initial public offerings in Malaysia: Initial premium and long-term performance," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 6(5), pages 427-451, November.
    2. Michelle Lowry & G. William Schwert, 2002. "IPO Market Cycles: Bubbles or Sequential Learning?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(3), pages 1171-1200, June.
    3. Jay R. Ritter & Ivo Welch, 2002. "A Review of IPO Activity, Pricing, and Allocations," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(4), pages 1795-1828, August.
    4. Muhammad Zubair Mumtaz & Zachary A. Smith & Ather Maqsood Ahmed, 2016. "An examination of short-run performance of IPOs using Extreme Bounds Analysis," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 43(1 Year 20), pages 71-95, June.
    5. Edward Wong Sek Khin & Ricky Wong W B & Lee Sue Ting, 2017. "Initial public offering (IPO) underpricing in Malaysian settings," Journal of Economic and Financial Studies (JEFS), LAR Center Press, vol. 5(2), pages 14-25, April.
    6. Reena Aggarwal & Ricardo Leal & Leonardo Hernandez, 1993. "The Aftermarket Performance of Initial Public Offerings in Latin America," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 22(1), Spring.
    7. Yu, Ting & Tse, Y.K., 2006. "An empirical examination of IPO underpricing in the Chinese A-share market," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 363-382.
    8. Qi Deng & Zhong-guo Zhou, 2016. "The pricing of first day opening price returns for ChiNext IPOs," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 249-271, August.
    9. Tim Loughran & Jay R. Ritter, 2002. "Why Don't Issuers Get Upset About Leaving Money on the Table in IPOs?," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(2), pages 413-444, March.
    10. Cho, Jaemin & Lee, Jaeho, 2013. "The venture capital certification role in R&D: Evidence from IPO underpricing in Korea," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 83-108.
    11. Amiyatosh K. Purnanandam, 2004. "Are IPOs Really Underpriced?," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 17(3), pages 811-848.
    12. Liu, Xiaoding & Ritter, Jay R., 2011. "Local underwriter oligopolies and IPO underpricing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(3), pages 579-601.
    13. Kirkulak, Berna & Davis, Colin, 2005. "Underwriter reputation and underpricing: Evidence from the Japanese IPO market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 451-470, September.
    14. Kiymaz, Halil, 2000. "The initial and aftermarket performance of IPOs in an emerging market: evidence from Istanbul stock exchange," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 213-227, June.
    15. Hamish Anderson & Jing Chi & Qing (Sophie) Wang, 2015. "IPO Performance on China’s Newest Stock Market (ChiNext)," Chinese Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(2), pages 87-113, March.
    16. Al-Hassan, Abdullah & Delgado, Fernando & Omran, Mohammed, 2010. "The under-pricing of IPOs in the Gulf cooperation council countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 344-360, September.
    17. Jing Chi & Carol Padgett, 2005. "The Performance And Long‐Run Characteristics Of The Chinese Ipo Market," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(4), pages 451-469, December.
    18. Ritter, Jay R, 1991. "The Long-run Performance of Initial Public Offerings," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(1), pages 3-27, March.
    19. Agathee, Ushad Subadar & Sannassee, Raja Vinesh & Brooks, Chris, 2012. "The underpricing of IPOs on the Stock Exchange of Mauritius," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 281-303.
    20. Rock, Kevin, 1986. "Why new issues are underpriced," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(1-2), pages 187-212.
    21. Marisetty, Vijaya B. & Subrahmanyam, Marti G., 2010. "Group affiliation and the performance of IPOs in the Indian stock market," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 196-223, February.
    22. Peavy, John W, III, 1990. "Returns on Initial Public Offerings of Closed-End Funds," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 3(4), pages 695-708.
    23. Lyn, Esmeralda O. & Zychowicz, Edward J., 2003. "The performance of new equity offerings in Hungary and Poland," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 181-195, July.
    24. Bradley, Daniel J. & Jordan, Bradford D., 2002. "Partial Adjustment to Public Information and IPO Underpricing," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(4), pages 595-616, December.
    25. Loughran, Tim & Ritter, Jay R. & Rydqvist, Kristian, 1995. "Initial public offerings: International insights," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 139-140, May.
    26. Chen, Gongmeng & Firth, Michael & Kim, Jeong-Bon, 2004. "IPO underpricing in China's new stock markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 283-302, July.
    27. Bazeet Olayemi Badru & Nurwati A. Ahmad-Zaluki, 2018. "Explaining IPO initial returns in Malaysia:ex anteuncertainty vs signalling," Asian Review of Accounting, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 26(1), pages 84-106, February.
    28. Kulabutr Komenkul & Dhanawat Siriwattanakul, 2016. "How the unremunerated reserve requirement by the Bank of Thailand affects IPO underpricing and the long-run performance of IPOs," Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 24(3), pages 317-342, July.
    29. Alanazi, Ahmed S. & Al-Zoubi, Haitham A., 2015. "Extreme IPO underpricing and the legal environment in wealthy emerging economies," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 83-103.
    30. Bruno Biais & Enrico Perotti, 2002. "Machiavellian Privatization," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(1), pages 240-258, March.
    31. Thomas J Boulton & Scott B Smart & Chad J Zutter, 2010. "IPO underpricing and international corporate governance," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 41(2), pages 206-222, February.
    32. Tim Loughran & Jay Ritter, 2004. "Why Has IPO Underpricing Changed Over Time?," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 33(3), Fall.
    33. Butler, Alexander W. & Keefe, Michael O'Connor & Kieschnick, Robert, 2014. "Robust determinants of IPO underpricing and their implications for IPO research," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 367-383.
    34. Adjasi, Charles K.D. & Osei, Kofi A. & Fiawoyife, Eme U., 2011. "Explaining underpricing of IPOs in frontier markets: Evidence from the Nigeria Stock Exchange," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 255-265, September.
    35. Samarakoon, Lalith P., 2010. "The short-run underpricing of initial public offerings in the Sri Lankan stock market," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 20(4-5), pages 197-213, December.
    36. Wang, Ko & Chan, Su Han & Gau, George W., 1992. "Initial public offerings of equity securities *1: Anomalous evidence using REITs," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 381-410, June.
    37. Clarke, Jonathan & Khurshed, Arif & Pande, Alok & Singh, Ajai K., 2016. "Sentiment traders & IPO initial returns: The Indian evidence," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 24-37.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mumtaz, Muhammad Zubair & Yoshino, Naoyuki, 2021. "Greenness index: IPO performance and portfolio allocation," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    2. Nischay Arora & Balwinder Singh, 2023. "Do Female Directors Signal Indian SME IPOs Quality? Evidence From a Quantile Regression Approach," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 24(1), pages 185-205, February.
    3. Zhao, Yi & Wang, Nan & Zhang, Luyang & Sun, Baiqing & Yang, Yuchen, 2022. "The greater the investor attention, the better the post-IPO performance? A view of pre-IPO and post-IPO investor attention," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    4. Abdul WAHID & Muhammad Zubair MUMTAZ & Edmund H. MANTELL, 2020. "Short-Run Pricing Performance of Local and Dual Class IPOs in Alternative Investment Market," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 57-74, March.
    5. Wang, Zhuqing & Wang, Xinyu & Xu, Yan & Cheng, Qiuying, 2022. "Are green IPOs priced differently? Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    6. Dilesha Nawadali Rathnayake & Yang Bai & Pierre Axel Louembé & Li Qi, 2022. "Interest Rate Liberalization and Commercial Bank Performance: New Evidence From Chinese A-Share Banks," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Agathee, Ushad Subadar & Sannassee, Raja Vinesh & Brooks, Chris, 2012. "The underpricing of IPOs on the Stock Exchange of Mauritius," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 281-303.
    2. Oehler, Andreas & Rummer, Marco & Smith, Peter N., 2004. "IPO Pricing and the Relative Importance of Investor Sentiment: Evidence from Germany," Discussion Papers 26, University of Bamberg, Chair of Finance.
    3. Alanazi, Ahmed S. & Al-Zoubi, Haitham A., 2015. "Extreme IPO underpricing and the legal environment in wealthy emerging economies," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 83-103.
    4. Chen Su, 2018. "The efficiency of IPO issuing mechanisms and market conditions: evidence in China," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 461-495, August.
    5. Giannopoulos, George & Degiannakis, Stavros & Holt, Andrew & Pongpoonsuksri, Teerapon, 2018. "The Impact of the 2007 Global Financial Crisis on IPO Performance in Asian-Pacific Emerging Markets," MPRA Paper 96269, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Yong, Othman, 2007. "A review of IPO research in Asia: What's next?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 253-275, June.
    7. Nugroho Sasikirono & Sumiati Sumiati & Nur Khusniyah Indrawati, 2018. "Underpricing and long-term market performance of initial public offerings in Indonesia: A quantile regression approach," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center, vol. 14(1), pages 152-167, January.
    8. Lehmann, Timo & Weber, Matthias, 2021. "IPO Underpricing and Aftermarket Price Accuracy: Auctions vs. Bookbuilding in Japan," SocArXiv sa385, Center for Open Science.
    9. Fouad Jamaani & Manal Alidarous, 2019. "Review of Theoretical Explanations of IPO Underpricing," Journal of Accounting, Business and Finance Research, Scientific Publishing Institute, vol. 6(1), pages 1-18.
    10. Su Chan & Jiajin Chen & Ko Wang, 2013. "Are REIT IPOs Unique? The Global Evidence," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 47(4), pages 719-759, November.
    11. Hahl, Teemu & Vähämaa, Sami & Äijö, Janne, 2014. "Value versus growth in IPOs: New evidence from Finland," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 17-31.
    12. Killins, Robert N., 2019. "An investigation of the short-term performance of the Canadian IPO market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 102-113.
    13. Liu, Jianlei & Uchida, Konari & Gao, Ruidong, 2014. "Legal protection and underpricing of IPOs: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 163-187.
    14. Sarra Ben Slama Zouari & Abdelkader Boudriga & Neila Boulila Taktak, 2011. "Determinants Of Ipo Underpricing: Evidence From Tunisia," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 5(1), pages 13-32.
    15. Butler, Alexander W. & Keefe, Michael O'Connor & Kieschnick, Robert, 2014. "Robust determinants of IPO underpricing and their implications for IPO research," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 367-383.
    16. Yibiao Chen & Steven S. Wang & Wilson H. S. Tong & Hui Zhu, 2017. "Economic freedom and IPO underpricing," Frontiers of Business Research in China, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 1-22, December.
    17. Gao, Yan, 2010. "What comprises IPO initial returns: Evidence from the Chinese market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 77-89, January.
    18. Tiziana La Rocca, 2021. "Do prestigious underwriters shape IPO pricing? A meta-analytic review," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 573-609, April.
    19. Clarke, Jonathan & Khurshed, Arif & Pande, Alok & Singh, Ajai K., 2016. "Sentiment traders & IPO initial returns: The Indian evidence," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 24-37.
    20. Klova, Valeriia, 2017. "IPO underpricing: What about the shipping sector?," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 42, pages 95-115.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    IPO; CSE; Underpricing; Overpricing; Ex-ante uncertainty;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:50:y:2019:i:c:p:171-190. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ribaf .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.