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Sentiment traders & IPO initial returns: The Indian evidence

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  • Clarke, Jonathan
  • Khurshed, Arif
  • Pande, Alok
  • Singh, Ajai K.

Abstract

We use India's unique regulatory design to test sentiment-based models of IPO initial returns. Using a sample of 362 Indian offerings from 2003 to 2014, we find that the traditional measure of IPO underpricing averages 23%. We decompose the traditional underpricing measure into two components: one related to voluntary underpricing by the underwriter and the other component related to the IPO's first-day trading activity. We find minimal levels of voluntary underpricing. However, initial returns on the first day average 14% and are primarily driven by the unmet demand of non-institutional investor groups. Overall, our results support sentiment-based models of IPO initial returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Clarke, Jonathan & Khurshed, Arif & Pande, Alok & Singh, Ajai K., 2016. "Sentiment traders & IPO initial returns: The Indian evidence," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 24-37.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:corfin:v:37:y:2016:i:c:p:24-37
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2015.10.007
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    Cited by:

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    6. Harsimran Sandhu & Kousik Guhathakurta, 2020. "Effects of IPO Offer Price Ranges on Initial Subscription, Initial Turnover and Ownership Structure—Evidence from Indian IPO Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-19, November.
    7. Katti, Supriya & Lawrence, Edward R. & Raithatha, Mehul, 2023. "Risk disclosure in IPO advertisement and the quality of the firm," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    8. Akron, Sagi & Samdani, Taufique, 2017. "Investor protection and institutional investors’ incentive for information production," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 1-15.
    9. Ranganathan, Kavitha & Saraogi, Aayush, 2021. "What explains voluntary premarket underpricing and aftermarket mispricing in Indian IPOs?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    10. Wadhwa, Kavita & Nagi Reddy, V. & Goyal, Abhinav & Mohamed, Abdulkadir, 2016. "IPOs and SEOs, real investments, and market timing: Emerging market evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 21-41.
    11. Que, Jiangjing & Zhang, Xueyong, 2021. "Money chasing hot industries? Investor attention and valuation of venture capital backed firms," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    12. Nikbakht, Ehsan & Sarkar, Sayan & Smith, Garrett C. & Spieler, Andrew C., 2021. "Pre-IPO earnings management: Evidence from India," Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    13. Lu, Yuechan & Samdani, Taufique, 2019. "The economic role of institutional investors in auction IPOs," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 267-281.
    14. Abdul WAHID & Muhammad Zubair MUMTAZ & Edmund H. MANTELL, 2020. "Short-Run Pricing Performance of Local and Dual Class IPOs in Alternative Investment Market," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 57-74, March.
    15. Rama Seth & S. R. Vishwanatha & Durga Prasad, 2019. "Allocation to Anchor Investors, Underpricing, and the After‐Market Performance of IPOs," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 48(1), pages 159-186, March.
    16. Chen, Jun & Ke, Bin & Wu, Donghui & Yang, Zhifeng, 2018. "The consequences of shifting the IPO offer pricing power from securities regulators to market participants in weak institutional environments: Evidence from China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 349-370.
    17. Rathnayake, Dilesha Nawadali & Louembé, Pierre Axel & Kassi, Diby François & Sun, Gang & Ning, Ding, 2019. "Are IPOs underpriced or overpriced? Evidence from an emerging market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 171-190.
    18. Till Drebinger & Shailendra Kumar Rai & Heiko Hinrichs, 2019. "Performance of IPOs of Indian Companies Backed by Private Equity," Vision, , vol. 23(4), pages 397-409, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    IPOs; Winner's curse; Voluntary underpricing; Initial returns; Sentiment traders;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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